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Just when you think the NFL might be returning to normalcy, Week 6 happens. The Buccaneers and Packers both lost outright as touchdown favorites; the Giants continued their absurd run en route to a 5-1 start; and the much-ballyhooed matchup between the Chiefs and Bills ended, surprisingly, with a Patrick Mahomes interception.

We shouldn’t expect anything less in Week 7, which features more favorites of at least six points (8) than any week this season despite fewer teams in action amid the increasing number of bye weeks. Here’s a look at the full slate of games at BetMGM, including a few we’re targeting against the spread early in the week:

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NFL Week 7 betting odds, point spreads (via BetMGM)

Saints +1.5 @ Cardinals

Friends don’t let friends bet the Cardinals, who have lost four straight (2-2 ATS) and look completely listless offensively despite having one of the most talented young quarterbacks in football.

You can point the finger directly at head coach Kliff Kingsbury, whose offense has scored a measly three first-quarter points all season and mustered just nine points last week against a Seahawks defense that surrendered 39 points one week earlier against – you guessed it – these very Saints.

New Orleans quietly ranks fourth in yards per game (398.3) and sits in the top 10 in third-down conversion rate on offense (41.3%) and defense (33.8%). The Saints have been fairly banged-up in recent weeks, but if they can get any good news on that front – especially from quarterback Jameis Winston (back) – this line could be on the move before Thursday’s kickoff.


  Kyler Murray Getty Images Kyler Murray Getty Images

Jets +3 @ Broncos

The Broncos are trapped in a spiral of dysfunction, and I’m not sure I see any easy way out. Denver’s offense has been completely disjointed in the Nathaniel Hackett era, and outside of a few chunk plays, their sloppy showing on Monday doesn’t give me much confidence in that shifting moving forward.

You could say the exact opposite about the Jets, who seemingly have an identity now in Robert Saleh’s second season at the helm. Quarterback Zach Wilson wasn’t asked to do much in last week’s upset win over the Packers; instead, this stingy defense and run-happy offense carried the load to key this team’s third straight win.

I wouldn’t expect anything less against the Broncos, who are trying to follow a similar strategy with less success. Denver feels like the better team on paper, but that hasn’t shown through this year, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Jets get some love in the market before Sunday.

Betting on the NFL?

Chiefs -3 @ 49ers

Everything about this line just feels wrong. The Chiefs have looked like one of the best teams in football all year long, and their back-and-forth affair against the Bills did little to dissuade that notion, even with Mahomes’ late mistake marring the final result.

That simply isn’t the case for the 49ers. Yes, their defense was otherworldly through the first few weeks, but last week’s 28-point output by the Falcons calls into question just how impervious this unit is moving forward – especially with edge rusher Nick Bosa (groin) and safeties Jimmie Ward (hand) and Talanoa Hufanga (concussion) uncertain for Week 7.

That’s to say nothing of San Francisco’s offense, which has now scored 14 or fewer points in three of its last six weeks. If this turns into a track meet, the 49ers simply don’t have a shot, and the Chiefs should be out for blood after last week’s loss.

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