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One of my favorite axioms in sports betting is to avoid the public underdog, and that phrase couldn’t be any more relevant than in the Raptors-76ers series. The Raptors are the trendy pick to upset the 76ers among fans, analysts, scouts and bettors. Personally, I’m not buying it.
A few things are guaranteed in life: Death, taxes and the Raptors losing Game 1 of their first-round playoff series. Since 1995, the Raptors have made the postseason 12 times. They’ve lost Game 1 in 11 of those 12 series. Past trends aside, the 76ers are the far more talented team and have Joel Embiid, the best player in the series and a finalist for league MVP the last two seasons.
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The Raptors don’t have any bigs who can defend Embiid. And with James Harden playing alongside Embiid, the 76ers rank first in free-throw rate (23.3 percent) and are attempting 28.2 free throws per game since the All-Star break. The Raptors rank 21st in opponent free-throw rate (20) so expect the 76ers to get to the line at will.
The plays: 76ers -4.5 in Game 1 and -200 to win series (BetMGM).












