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Our NFL betting expert, C. Jackson Cowart, offers best betting predictions and picks for Sunday’s game between the Denver Broncos and New York Jets, live on CBS at 4:05 p.m. ET.

The Jets are dealing as 1-point favorites at BetMGM and are dead-even on the moneyline against the Broncos, who opened this contest as favorites but have seen a rash of money against them ahead of kickoff.

Here’s how we’re betting Sunday’s contest…

When the Broncos opened as 3-point favorites after yet another uninspiring performance on Monday, it felt inevitable that we’d see action on the other side. And while it’s a bit surprising to see this line flip to the other side, you could argue it hasn’t gone far enough.

I’ve been thoroughly disappointed with what I’ve seen from Denver’s offense, which is entirely unimaginative and painfully disjointed despite having a nine-time Pro Bowl passer in Russell Wilson. He was already struggling to show any glimpses of the quarterback that the Broncos thought they were getting when they signed him to a massive deal this offseason; then he injured his hamstring and is “day-to-day” ahead of Sunday.

He’ll almost certainly play in this one, but it won’t mean much for a unit that ranks 27th in offensive DVOA, 30th in points per drive (1.37), and dead last in points per game (15.2). That’s simply appalling to see from a Wilson-led offense, and he’s been the biggest culprit – he ranks 26th in QBR (35.8) entering Week 7 and has thrown for fewer than 200 yards twice already, including in last week’s overtime loss to the Chargers.

The Jets’ offense has been average by most advanced metrics, but this group has started with stellar field position thanks to an opportunistic defense that has already produced seven interceptions and 10 takeaways overall – both tied for fifth-most in the NFL. That’s a key reason why this group ranks sixth in yards per drive allowed (28.4), and a key reason why this team has won three straight games with Zach Wilson stabilizing the offense on the other side.

It’s also impossible to ignore that New York is just hot right now. And that matters. Since 2020, teams riding a three-game win streak or better are 34-25 against the spread when favored by one point or fewer (including underdogs). Teams on a roll like this don’t tend to get this overlooked by the betting market; when they do, it’s worth taking advantage.