Amid upsets, cancellations and chaos, the show will go on. The College Football Playoff will indeed deliver its four teams Sunday morning, less than 24 hours after all major conference championships will be complete.

That part of the routine will feel familiar, even if the path to arrive there has been anything but. So we’re left with that question again.

Who’s in, who’s out?

In an effort to educate about where we stand with playoff scenarios, let’s dive in. Using national championship odds from Circa as our backdrop, here is the status of the teams hovering around the mini-bracket.

Alabama (Yes -180, No +155): Alabama is in. A loss to Florida in the SEC championship game won’t change that. With a win, even a less-than-convincing win, the Crimson Tide will likely secure the No. 1 seed. This is the best team in college football, and it doesn’t appear to be all that close. The odds speak volumes, especially when compared with others.

Clemson (Yes +410, No -600): It gets interesting quickly. If Clemson beats Notre Dame in the ACC championship game, the Tigers are obviously in. If they lose, there still is a remote chance they’ll sneak in, though they’ll need some help. The bigger intrigue? The potential seeding. That could be important, and I’ll explain why shortly.

Ohio State (Yes +510, No -800): If the Buckeyes win the Big Ten championship, no matter how many games other teams have played, they’re almost certainly in. Simple as that. Other coaches will be angry. The Internet will be angry. But despite the venom that will follow, Ohio State will secure its position with a victory. Could a close, ugly game as a big favorite swing that? Perhaps. But not likely. A loss, on the other hand, would spice things up plenty. If you seek chaos, start here.

Notre Dame (Yes +1350, No -2500): With a win over Clemson in their back pocket, the Fighting Irish are likely in the playoff regardless of the outcome. A win and Notre Dame is likely the No. 2 seed, assuming Alabama wins. A loss and the Irish will likely find a home as the No. 3 or No. 4 seed. The playoff certainly would love to avoid seeing Clemson-Notre Dame Part III in the semifinals. That’s yet another element the committee has to consider for the first time.

Texas A&M (Yes 65/1, No -10000): The Aggies’ best chance to crack the playoff? An Ohio State loss or a Clemson loss. At that point, assuming Texas A&M beats Tennessee, the Aggies are likely in with a quality win over Florida and a quality loss — albeit a blowout loss — to Alabama on their résumé. They need help, but they are on deck if someone stumbles.

And what about that chaos? I’m glad you asked.

For Oklahoma, Iowa State, USC or Cincinnati to have a shot, we need madness. And even that might not cut it. Those teams need to win plus they likely need an Ohio State loss, a Clemson loss and a Texas A&M loss. And even then, things become muddy.

Since the playoff began, I have hoped for that kind of Saturday. So far, things have been relatively chalky. Could it happen? Of course. But it’ll take quite a bit.

Here’s to madness.

Tidbits and Observations

DeVonta Smith. I told you this would be a topic every week, and that is the case heading into the SEC championship game. It appears Alabama’s top wide receiver, the best football player in America, now has an outside crack at the Heisman Trophy. After Florida’s loss and Mac Jones’ so-so numbers against Arkansas, BetMGM has Smith the second choice to win the Heisman at 5/2 behind only Jones at -200. For a wide receiver, that is actually pretty unbelievable. For Smith to win and overtake Jones, he’ll need a huge game — perhaps a punt return for a TD — and a big statistical evening. Against a Florida defense that has been largely mediocre, that feels doable.

After regularly flirting with the idea of firing Gus Malzahn over the years, Auburn pulled the trigger and will now pay him more than $20 million — including more than $10 million in the first 30 days — not to coach. A few things come to mind. First, I would love to be living that buyout life. Pay me $20 million not to coach and you won’t hear from me for a while (maybe ever again). Second, I am curious to see where Auburn goes from here.

Is this the spot to which Hugh Freeze jumps back into the SEC? Can Auburn lure Oregon coach Mario Cristobal, who signed a six-year, $27 million contract extension Thursday, back East? Will they just promote defensive coordinator Kevin Steele? This could get wild with a lot of booster influence. But the job is intriguing, albeit with a tough schedule and a brutal rival.