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Post sports gambling editor/producer Erich Richter is in his first season in the Bettor’s Guide.
Miami Dolphins (+4.5) over KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
It’s gonna be a chilly one in Kansas City this weekend, and that’s fine; the Dolphins aren’t your typical air-it-out team anyway.
In fact, it’s all about the run game for Miami, and coach Mike McDaniel is as creative as they come in that piece of the game, serving as Kyle Shanahan’s run-game coordinator in San Francisco.
His quarterback doesn’t rely on long passing to be successful either.
They are a short passing team with plenty of YAC to get them down the field.
In the red zone, it’s all handoffs, as Raheem Mostert’s 15 touchdowns inside the 20 are the most in the NFL among all players.
Despite the injuries on the defensive side, Miami wins this one outright Saturday night.
Raheem Mostert runs the ball for a touchdown during the Dolphins’ 22-20 win over the Patriots. Getty ImagesPittsburgh Steelers (+10) over BUFFALO BILLS
The total of this game dropped six points thanks to some terrible weather in the forecast.
So fewer points would theoretically point to a tighter game and the spread shrinking, right?
Well, that’s not what happened here, and that’s a mistake.
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Buffalo just might make the Super Bowl this season, but this is not the best front-running team.
As favorites by at least a touchdown, the Bills are 2-6 ATS this season.
The Steelers, even without T.J. Watt, are the bet here as Allen struggles against zone coverage, which Pittsburgh plays 61.1 percent of the time (near the top of the league). Buffalo wins by a touchdown in this spot.
Last week: 1-1. Titans (W), Patriots (L)
2023 season: 17-17-2.
