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James Madison vs. Duke Pick

D.J. James of the Action Network breaks down his pick for a second-round matchup between JMU and Duke:

James Madison over Wisconsin was a trendy first-round pick, but this wasn’t without reason. The Dukes are currently ranked 57th in KenPom, despite playing in the Sun Belt. That’s not easy to do, but this team is sneakily well-rounded, and it dominated Wisconsin from tip-to-buzzer.

JMU can score inside and out. From deep, the Dukes are hitting 36.3% of their 3s. The Blue Devils are allowing opponents to shoot over 35% from outside and rank 92nd in defensive Open 3 Rate, per ShotQuality. The Dukes should be able to hit some deep shots to stay in this game.

Duke is efficient from outside, too, hitting 37.6% from distance. James Madison, however, is limiting opponents to under 29% from beyond the arc, so if the Blue Devils are going to score, they’ll need to take the ball inside, where JMU is a tad weaker.

However, JMU ranks 72nd in points per possession at the rim on defense, so it’s a bit better on the inside than Duke is on the perimeter.

JMU can also turn opponents over, as it showed against Wisconsin. The Badgers ranked in the top 50 this season in offensive turnover rate and still fumbled the ball 19 times. Don’t be surprised if JMU’s pressure gets to some of the Duke guards, since JMU is relentless.

This game could come down to the wire. JMU is a good team and has already knocked off Michigan State and Wisconsin this year.

Is Duke next? Maybe not, but 7.5 points is disrespectful”.

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