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It’s Week 10 in the NFL. Two weeks ago, the Falcons and Panthers squared off in a contest that surprisingly decided first place in the NFC South to that point. After each side lost last week, the stakes aren’t quite as high in the rematch — but their game Thursday night could still go a long way toward deciding the eventual division winner.

Here are three of our favorite prop bets to target during “Thursday Night Football” between the Falcons and Panthers, which is set for a 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff on Amazon Prime Video:

We’ve seen two versions of Mariota this year: The one who airs it out with reckless abandon, and the one who hardly passes at all. And there are a handful of reasons to expect the latter on Thursday.

For one, that’s what we’ve seen most recently and in the majority of games this season. The eight-year veteran completed just 12 passes last week and has finished with fewer than 15 completions in six of his nine starts this year, averaging a paltry 13.8 completions per contest in his first year with the Falcons.

The weather also has a chance to be dreadful on Thursday night, with gusting winds and a near-certain chance of rain in the Charlotte area. Atlanta has been a run-first team much of the year, and the Panthers’ defense has struggled mightily to stop teams on the ground, so I’d expect the Falcons to stick to the usual script in what should be messy conditions.

If the Falcons do indeed lean on their run game as expected, that bodes well for the rookie rusher Allgeier, who has carved a sizable role in this backfield with starter Cordarelle Patterson in and out of the lineup.

Just based on recent production alone, this line is a slap in the face to the fifth-round pick, who is averaging 76.3 scrimmage yards over the last six weeks with at least 45 total yards in every game. That has come with a clear uptick in usage: After playing a combined 40 snaps in Weeks 1 and 2, he has been in for an average of 31.3 snaps over that six-game stretch.

Even when his snap share dipped a bit last week as Patterson returned, Allgeier still saw 11 touches and turned them into a whopping 123 yards — more than double his running mate’s total output (53 yards). With the game script and weather likely favoring another high-volume game for Atlanta’s backfield, Allgeier should have plenty of chances to clear this low bar.

With both teams likely leaning on the ground game in wet and blustery conditions, why not double down here with a bet on each team’s emerging rushers?

Foreman was unstoppable in his first two games as Carolina’s primary rusher, tallying 118 yards each in Week 7 and Week 8 behind a heavy workload. That changed last week in a loss to the Bengals, who bludgeoned the Panthers from the opening drive and forced Foreman (seven carries, 23 yards) into a terrible game script for maintaining his gaudy production.

Still, this line is appropriately low to account for last week and for the return of running back Chuba Hubbard (ankle), who is technically the Panthers’ top back, but hasn’t put together any performances to approach Foreman’s in recent weeks. Assuming this one isn’t an immediate blowout like last week, I’d suspect Foreman will get his fair share of carries regardless of Hubbard’s status, and that he will make them count.