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Drake Maye and the Patriots got here via an ugly win against Denver in a game that demanded restraint more than flash.
Seattle’s path was the opposite — an offense playing fast and free, powered by Sam Darnold’s career reboot as the Seahawks blew past San Francisco and Los Angeles without blinking.
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What our Post expert thinks about Patriots vs. Seahawks
The bye-week edge hasn’t translated on the Big Game stage the way people assume, and history has been actively hostile to that narrative.
Teams entering the Super Bowl off a playoff bye against a Wild Card participant are just 4-13 straight up and an ugly 2-14-1 against the spread.
If anything, the extra rest has coincided with rust, while the team forced to play its way in often arrives sharper and more game-ready.
New England being here at all is an outlier, but history has been especially unkind to teams like them that failed to cover the conference title game.
Since the merger in 1966, those teams are 2-11-1 ATS in the Big Game (yikes!).
Seattle checks the opposite box, coming off a clean cover and carrying the perception edge. But, it’s also that perception edge that makes them dangerous to back at peak popularity.
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Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.
