Oklahoma quarterback Kyler Murray is pushing Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa in the Heisman Trophy race. Murray has accounted for 48 touchdowns (37 passing, 11 rushing) and the Sooners are scoring 50.2 points per game. Oddsmakers expect a shootout in the Big 12 title game in Arlington, Texas, where the total is 78 on a fast track.

Texas won the first meeting 48-45 as a 7 1/2-point underdog at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas. The line was the same in early October, but the total was 60 1/2. Trend followers are well aware of Longhorns coach Tom Herman’s track record as an underdog — 12-1 ATS since 2015, including 7-1 with Texas. But the stakes are higher for the Sooners, who can get revenge on their rival and possibly earn a playoff spot.

Murray might prove to be too hot to handle, yet Oklahoma is all offense and no defense.

The play: Texas, +8.