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As the Packers slogged through a five-game losing streak that threatened to derail their season, it looked like their chances of re-emerging as an NFC power were all but dead. Then they came alive last week against the Cowboys to remind us of just how dangerous they can be.

Next up? A home test against the similarly enigmatic Titans, who have quietly won six of their last seven games despite some suspect play under center. Can they continue their underdog run in a tough environment at Lambeau Field?

Here’s how we’re betting Thursday’s contest, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.

It’s easy to talk yourself back into the Packers, who entered this year among the favorites to win the Super Bowl and finally looked the part in last week’s overtime win over the Cowboys. You can see that momentum reflected in the line, with Green Bay seeing its side juiced as of Thursday.

On the field, though, this matchup favors the Titans. And the circumstances around this game further support that.

Let’s start with the home favorites, who seemingly couldn’t get anything going over the last month and a half, especially offensively. Then Green Bay found its way on the ground again, finishing with 200 rushing yards in two of the last three weeks – including last week’s 207-yard effort to bully the Cowboys’ defense.

That isn’t happening this week. The Titans own the best run defense in football per DVOA and have allowed the second-fewest rushing yards per game (85.1) and third-fewest per carry (3.9) through the first 10 weeks of the season. In fact, if you took out the Giants’ whopping 238-yard effort in Week 1, this team has allowed just 66 rushing yards per game with seven straight games allowing fewer than 100 yards.

So the Packers should just focus on their passing attack, right? Not so fast. Tennessee’s front ranks fifth in sacks (29) and sixth in pressure rate (25%), and it’s generated a ridiculous 77 combined pressures over the last two weeks alone – helping extend a streak of six straight weeks with at least three sacks.

That’s a serious issue for a Green Bay offense that already struggled with its receivers gaining separation downfield. Further complicating that is the weather at Lambeau Field, which is expected to be around 25 degrees by kickoff with a wind chill of roughly 10 degrees. Good luck heaving it downfield in those conditions.

That plays right into the hands of this Titans offense, which still runs through Derrick Henry each and every week. The two-time rushing champ has logged at least 100 rushing yards in five of his last six games, and he should have a field day against a Packers defense that ranks 30th in rush defense DVOA and among the NFL’s worst in opponent yards per game (140.6) and yards per rush (4.8).

Simply put, this is a nightmare matchup for Green Bay across the board, especially considering the blisteringly cold conditions expected on Thursday. Yes, Tennessee’s passing attack doesn’t have the sex appeal that most want when backing a road underdog in prime time, but the Titans are still the best bet here as the better team with a better plan of attack.

Titans +3 (-105 BetMGM)