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It will be the teacher versus the student Sunday when Bill Belichick and the Patriots face Josh McDaniels and the Raiders in Las Vegas.

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It will be the teacher versus the student Sunday when Bill Belichick and the Patriots face Josh McDaniels and the Raiders in Las Vegas. To say the teacher has a coaching edge might be the understatement of the decade.

Last week, I gave out the Patriots over the Cardinals on Monday night. Before that matchup, I pointed out one simple fact: New England beats up on bad teams and struggles against tougher competition. The Patriots’ seven wins are against teams with a combined record of 30-43-1. New England’s six losses have come against teams with a combined record 43-32. The only team the Pats have beaten with a winning record this season is the Jets (twice).


  Bill Belichick USA TODAY Sports Bill Belichick USA TODAY Sports

The Raiders certainly qualify as a bad team, sitting at 5-8 in McDaniels’ first season. More important is how Las Vegas loses games. Last week, the Raiders suffered another last-minute, gut-wrenching loss by letting Baker Mayfield, who had been on the Rams’ roster for about five minutes, lead a game-winning drive. You have to wonder where the Raiders are mentally after that game.

Not only does Belichick have a massive coaching edge, the matchup sets up nicely for New England. The Patriots’ much-criticized offense can have issues moving the football, but that shouldn’t be a problem against a Las Vegas defense that ranks 25th in the NFL and allows 24.1 points per game.

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The Patriots are still very much in the playoff hunt, and this feels like another below-average team they can beat up on. Add it all up and I’ll take the small number with New England on the road.

The play: Patriots +1.5.

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