Colts-Texans is the only intradivisional game this weekend. Both won on the other team’s field as they head into Round 3 of their AFC South rivalry, and that’s not a fluke. The past five years, the road team in this matchup has gone 7-1-2 against the spread.

The Colts and Andrew Luck have been especially good against better defenses. Against teams that allow fewer than 20 points per game, Indy is 7-0. But I have a bias against NFL teams playing consecutive weeks on the road. The Colts played a win-or-go-home game last Sunday night at Tennessee, shortening their work week.

So, I’m going to back Deshaun Watson. Last year, two road teams (Titans, Falcons) won in the wild-card round, but both had played Week 17 at home.

The play: Texans, -1.