Let’s break down the Chiefs’ season from a gambling perspective, including their future-book odds, season win total and playoffs to date. On Saturday, we’ll take look at the Buccaneers.

The Chiefs opened as 7/1 favorites for Super Bowl 2021 even before they won Super Bowl LIV when the Westgate SuperBook opened its futures on Jan. 13, 2020. They were also the 7/2 faves to win the AFC. The Chiefs were lowered to 9/4 to repeat as AFC champs and 9/2 to repeat as Super Bowl champs after their title run. Unlike the Buccaneers, the Chiefs’ future-book odds remained pretty constant through the offseason, and they entered the season about 2/1 to win the AFC and 4/1 to win the Super Bowl. They were also installed as prohibitive -450 favorites to win the AFC West.

As the defending champs and clear-cut favorites to repeat, the Chiefs were also given the highest win total of 12. That’s a huge number, and many people made a case that it would be hard to exceed their 12-4 record from last season with bull’s-eyes on their backs. However, the Chiefs started 4-0 before losing to the Raiders in Week 5 and then went Over 12 when they improved to 13-1 with their 33-27 Week 14 win at Miami.

Record: 14-2 (AFC West winner, No. 1 record in AFC, No. 1 in NFL); ATS record: 6-9-1 ATS, net loss of 4 units; Over/Under: 8-8

The Chiefs consistently rewarded backers during the first half of the season despite usually laying a lot of points. They started 6-2 ATS, with their only non-covers being a 23-20 OT win at the Chargers in Week 2 and their Week 5 loss to the Raiders. But then they burned backers’ money the rest of the regular season as they went 0-7-1 ATS despite winning all but their Week 17 game. (Some people had the Chiefs -2.5 in their 32-29 win at New Orleans in Week 15 and thus have the Chiefs covering and going 1-6-1 ATS down the stretch and 7-9 ATS on the season.)

Record: 2-0 (AFC champions); ATS record: 1-1 ATS, loss of 0.1 unit; Over/Under: 1-1, loss of 0.1 unit either way

The Chiefs earned the AFC’s lone first-round bye, so they opened their postseason run with a 22-17 win over the Browns but didn’t cover after closing as 8-point home favorites. In the AFC Championship game, they were 3-point favorites over the Bills after Mahomes was cleared from concussion protocol, and they won and covered 38-24. Their first game stayed Under, and the second game flew Over.

SU record as favorites: 15-1 (including playoffs); ATS record: 6-9-1, net loss of 3.9 units; Over/Under as favorites: 8-8

The Chiefs were underdogs only twice all season — Week 3 at Baltimore and Week 17 at the Chargers while resting starters. Their only loss as chalk was the 40-32 loss to the Raiders in Week 5, but they have a losing record ATS. It should be noted that the 3-point spread in the AFC Championship game was the lowest spread they were asked to cover except for the push in the Week 15 win at New Orleans.

Away record: 8-0 SU, 3-4-1 ATS; Over/Under (road games): 4-4

Tampa Bay is the first team to play a Super Bowl in its home stadium, so some consideration should be given to the Chiefs’ performance on the road.