I can’t resist the first NFL double-digit home underdog of the season. Derek Anderson (hopefully) should have a better outing after another full week with the Buffalo starters. Don’t forget, the Bills are 2-0 against the spread as double-digit ’dogs already this season (the inexplicable 27-6 rout in Week 3 at Minnesota as 16-point ’dogs and covering as 10 ¹/₂-point ’dogs two weeks ago in a 20-13 loss at Houston).

The Patriots certainly are capable of winning by more than two touchdowns, but part of what makes double-digit home ’dogs so strong is the favorite doesn’t have to win by such a large margin; they’re usually content to just coast to a victory and get out of there.

The play: I know it takes a lot of intestinal fortitude to make this bet, but you can do it. Bills +14