I’ve spent the last five weeks or so revealing a lot of the information I delve into each offseason in preparation for the college football season. After going back through the coaching changes, the Stability Scores, the transitional systems, the recruiting rankings and playing out the schedule by my power ratings, I’ve locked in on 10 team season win total bets I will be making. Here are five Over teams. On Friday, we’ll look at five Under teams. Odds are from by BetMGM and DraftKings.

You might find it strange to start with a team like Louisiana-Monroe for my best options on Over season win total bets, but this number 1.5 just doesn’t make sense to me. Yes, the Warhawks went 0-10 last year, but that season was so far from the norm, and so far from the typical results for this program that I am prepared to label it as a fluke. Before last season, ULM had won at least four games in every season since 2004 with the exception of 2015. This is not a doormat program, and with the change to veteran coach Terry Bowden and offensive coordinator Rich Rodriguez, I don’t expect it to stay on the bottom for long. There is an almost certain win versus Jackson State on the schedule for Week 2 and plenty of other chances in the Sun Belt to make this wager a winner.

COVID-19 threw a wrench into Maryland’s plans in 2020, but the Terps did post impressive wins over Minnesota and Penn State, proving capable of competing consistently with the conference’s upper-echelon teams. Quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa showed some explosive ability as well. For 2021, the win total is set at 5.5, and there are plenty of question marks in the Big Ten East Division to think Maryland could move up and make its first bowl game since 2016. There’s a reasonable chance this team is 4-0 when it hosts Iowa Oct. 1.

The Ducks went 4-3 in 2020 despite having one of the worst turnover differentials in the country at -1.3 per game. What’s the best way to instantly transform turnover problems? In my opinion, it’s starting over at quarterback, which is exactly what coach Mario Cristobal will be doing this fall as Boston College transfer Anthony Brown is expected to take over for the departed Tyler Shough after a season spent mainly on the bench. Cristobal, in his fourth year, has also continued to dominate the Pac-12 recruiting ranks, and his defense, which should be back to full strength after some opt-outs last year, figures to be much better than in 2020. There is a lot of focus on USC and Washington, but I believe Oregon could be the best team out west. I have the Ducks favored in all but one game this season.

Toledo has not played in a bowl game in two years, but coach Jason Candle’s team has plenty of talent and experience. My numbers show the Rockets should be favored in 10 of their 12 games. I wouldn’t put a competitive effort at Notre Dame in Week 2 out of your minds either. I expect Toledo back in the MAC title game and then obviously another bowl game.

It’s fair to say coach Chip Kelly needs to get something done this season, as he has his most experienced group and his offense could finally be ready to meet lofty expectations. There are 20 starters back for 2021, including multiyear starting QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson, who fits the Kelly offense to a T. The Bruins were 3-4 last year but lost all four games by six points or fewer. The experience boost in 2021 could be the difference in overcoming those tight losses.