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One of the season’s most lopsided affairs on paper kicks off Thursday between the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles and one-win Houston Texans — a game that oddsmakers expect to be a blowout. We do, too, which sets the stage for some favorable prop bets on both sides.
Here are three of our favorite prop bets to target ahead of Thursday night:
Davis Mills over 0.5 interceptions at -190 (BetMGM)
I’m tempted to bet the under on Mills’ passing yardage total (221.5), which he’s reached in four of seven games this year but fallen well short of against elite defenses. Yet I’m nervous that Thursday’s game script could lead to a heavy dose of garbage-time throws for Mills — which would bode quite well for this prop.
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Mills doesn’t even need a high volume of attempts to cough up the rock. He’s already thrown six interceptions this year, tied for the fifth-most in the NFL, and he’s thrown at least one in four of his last five games with a pair of multi-interception affairs in the mix. That’s a terrifying proposition against these Eagles, who have already picked off 10 passes — tied for the second-most in the league — through just seven games.
Philly has forced at least one interception in six of those seven games this season and coaxed Cowboys quarterback Cooper Rush into his only three interceptions of the season a few weeks ago. This is an opportunistic defense with arguably the best cornerback duo in the league, and I wouldn’t bet on Mills surviving this contest unscathed.
Dameon Pierce over 63.5 rushing yards at -125 (WynnBet)
Even if Thursday’s game gets away from the Texans early, I’d still expect a heavy usage for Pierce, who has proven to be the only bright spot for this lowly squad.
Since seeing the majority of his team’s snaps in Week 2, the rookie rusher had averaged 94.2 rushing yards with at least 69 yards in a five-game stretch before last week’s clunker against the Titans. It wasn’t all bad news: he saw his second-highest snap share (78 percent) but also saw his third-fewest rushes (15) through seven games and was held to just 35 yards on the ground.
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I wouldn’t worry about Pierce’s usage in this one. In the Texans’ two biggest losses of the year, Pierce combined for 223 yards on 34 carries, as he’s been mostly impervious to game script this entire season. He’s got a shot for another big game in this one regardless of the outcome.
Jalen Hurts over 233.5 passing yards at -114 (FanDuel)
How many more stellar performances are we going to see from Hurts before oddsmakers give him his due? Clearly, the market hasn’t caught up to his proficient play as a passer ahead of Thursday’s contest against one of the worst defenses in the league.
Jalen Hurts of the Philadelphia Eagles Getty ImagesThrough seven games, Hurts has thrown for at least 235 yards in five of them (71.4 percent), including a whopping 285 passing yards in last week’s win over the Steelers. That’s even more impressive when you consider the only two outliers this season came against the Cowboys’ elite defense in Week 6 and in a rainstorm against the Jaguars in Week 4.
I’d expect Hurts to come out firing against the Texans, who had allowed their last three opponents to throw for 235-plus yards until stifling rookie passer Malik Willis last week. I’d be shocked to see them corral the Eagles’ MVP candidate in the same way.







