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Below we break down our anytime TD scorer picks for the showdown in Green Bay, which will kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.
Derrick Henry TD scorer -150 (FanDuel)
Make fun of the chalk all you want, but the Packers really struggle against opposing running backs. They are allowing the second-most total rushing yards to opposing runners (1,228 yards), behind only the Houston Texans. His rushing prop over/under is set at 99 yards for tonight’s game, so the sportsbooks – as well as anyone who has ever watched the Tennessee Titans play football – are expecting him to be heavily involved.
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Treylon Burks Getty ImagesTreylon Burks TD scorer +475 (PointsBet)
Let’s go with this one as a value spot. Most sportsbooks believe that Burks has a better chance of scoring than Nick Westbrook-Ikhine. To be clear, I think one of these two players score tonight. The Packers’ secondary has been plenty leaky this season, allowing eight touchdowns to opposing wideouts which is in the bottom half of the league.
Burks is coming off an injury and played only 56.6% of snaps on offense in Week 10 against Denver, but he still ran 30 routes and got six targets. This was just below Westbrook-Ikhine’s eight, who went off for over 100 yards and two touchdowns. It is possible that the Titans give Westbrook more reps after his career-best performance, but I don’t see that being at Burks’ expense, considering they acquired him while moving star receiver A.J. Brown. The investment is far too large for this prop to come in at worse odds than Westbrook.
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Samori Toure anytime TD scorer +1600 (FanDuel)
Let’s just be clear here; this bet is worth .5 units at most. But here’s the argument for Samori Toure to get into the endzone this evening. Toure is projected to be the fourth in line for targets for Green Bay, but we know that he is a solid deep threat who still gets in on about a third of snaps for the Packers. Importantly, he is running routes on most of those snaps: he has run 22 routes in his past two games, with four targets and one touchdown in that time.
Aaron Jones called Toure “a playmaker,” and even Toure said “the door is wide open” when it comes to playing time at wide receiver. There’s some light buzz here, and at +1600 when the rest of the market is at +950 or less, I’d say this is a fine value spot.








