I was ahead of the curve on the Chiefs, winning with them as underdogs in Games 1 and 2; however, I tried to fade them in Week 3 with disastrous results. That was at home, now let’s see if they can do it on the road at Denver (with the added mile-high elevation and added pressure of “Monday Night Football”).

The Broncos let me down at Baltimore last Sunday, but they return home where they pulled out wins in Weeks 1 and 2 and should prove a tougher test for Patrick Mahomes than his earlier road trips to San Diego and Pittsburgh. Case Keenum had his worst game of the young season at Baltimore and should have more success against a K.C. defense allowing 30.7 points per game.

The play: Broncos +3 ¹/₂.