Heads or tails?
Even with a pick as high as No. 2 in the NFL draft, the past 40 years of selections have shown there’s only a slighter better than 50-50 chance the Giants will land an impact player.
That’s the bad news. The good news? Of the three Hall of Famers to have been selected at No. 2 since 1978, the Giants have one of them: Lawrence Taylor, drafted in 1981 out of North Carolina. They had better fortune than their MetLife Stadium roommates, the Jets, who twice in the past 40 years have swung and missed with the second pick, on running back Blair Thomas (1990) and receiver Johnny “Lam” Jones (1980).
There have been a string of draft busts the past 15 years, primarily on the offensive side of the ball. Tackles such as Greg Robinson, Luke Joeckel and Jason Smith haven’t panned out, though the Eagles and Titans are satisfied with their quarterback selections, Carson Wentz and Marcus Mariota.
No matter the position, though, Giants fans might as well flip a coin to determine if they will hit or miss with the No. 2 pick.
Inside the numbers: No. 2 picks since 1978
Hits: 51.3 percent (20 of 39)
Misses: 48.7 percent (19 of 39)
TBD: 1
- 21 No. 2 picks made Pro Bowl appearances, led by Lawrence Taylor’s and Eric Dickerson’s 10 selections each.
- 3 Hall of Famers — Taylor, Dickerson and Marshall Faulk.
- 3 Players whose NFL careers lasted four seasons or fewer — Jason Smith, Charles Rogers and Ryan Leaf.
- 11 No. 2 picks still active, including 38-year-old Julius Peppers, drafted 16 years ago in 2002 by the Panthers.
2017: Mitchell Trubisky
Team: Bears
Position: Quarterback
School: North Carolina
Years in NFL: 1
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: TBD
Verdict is still out on Bears QB, who will have a new coaching staff and improved weapons in Year 2.
2016: Carson Wentz
Team: Eagles
Position: Quarterback
School: North Dakota St.
Years in NFL: 2
Pro Bowls: 1
Verdict: HIT
Wentz played at an MVP level before tearing his ACL and having to watch Nick Foles win the Super Bowl.
2015: Marcus Mariota
Marcus MariotaGetty ImagesTeam: Titans
Position: Quarterback
School: Oregon
Years in NFL: 3
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: HIT
Mariota led a huge comeback in the playoffs this year to send the Titans to their first postseason win since 2004.
2014: Greg Robinson
Team: Rams
Position: Offensive tackle
School: Auburn
Years in NFL: 4
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
After he was traded by the Rams, the Lions waived Robinson, whose career is in danger of being over.
2013: Luke Joeckel
Team: Jaguars
Position: Offensive tackle
School: Texas A&M
Years in NFL: 5
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
After being a bust in Jacksonville, Joeckel started 11 games for the Seahawks last season at left guard.
2012: Robert Griffin III
Team: Redskins
Position: Quarterback
School: Baylor
Years in NFL: 5
Pro Bowls: 1
Verdict: MISS
RG3 lit up the NFL as a rookie before an ACL tear robbed his athleticism and sent his career into a tailspin.
2011: Von Miller
Team: Broncos
Position: Linebacker
School: Texas A&M
Years in NFL: 7
Pro Bowls: 6
Verdict: HIT
The MVP of Super Bowl 50 has double-digit sacks in every season he has remained healthy.
2010: Ndamukong Suh
Ndamukong SuhGetty ImagesTeam: Lions
Position: Defensive tackle
School: Nebraska
Years in NFL: 8
Pro Bowls: 5
Verdict: HIT
Questionable tactics aside, Suh has been one of the league’s most feared interior defensive linemen.
2009: Jason Smith
Team: Rams
Position: Offensive tackle
School: Baylor
Years in NFL: 4
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
Concussions derailed Smith’s career and he played his final season with the Jets before retiring in 2013.
2008: Chris Long
Team: Rams
Position: Defensive end
School: Virginia
Years in NFL: 10
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
Long won two Super Bowls late in his career, but never became a dominant defender with the Rams.
2007: Calvin Johnson
Team: Lions
Position: Wide receiver
School: Georgia Tech
Years in NFL: 9
Pro Bowls: 6
Verdict: HIT
Despite retiring early, Megatron twice led the NFL in receiving yards and was one of the game’s greatest WRs.
2006: Reggie Bush
Team: Saints
Position: Running back
School: USC
Years in NFL: 11
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
While never living up to the massive hype, Bush played a key role in the Saints’ 2009 Super Bowl team.
2005: Ronnie Brown
Team: Dolphins
Position: Running back
School: Auburn
Years in NFL: 10
Pro Bowls: 1
Verdict: MISS
Brown only rushed for 1,000 yards once in Miami and spent most of his career as part of a split backfield.
2004: Robert Gallery
Team: Raiders
Position: Offensive tackle
School: Iowa
Years in NFL: 8
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
Gallery had poor results at right and left tackle before switching to guard and extending his career.
2003: Charles Rogers
Charles RogersReutersTeam: Lions
Position: Wide receiver
School: Michigan St.
Years in NFL: 3
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
One of the biggest draft misses, Rogers failed multiple drug tests and washed out of the league after just three seasons.
2002: Julius Peppers
Team: Panthers
Position: Defensive end
School: North Carolina
Years in NFL: 16
Pro Bowls: 9
Verdict: HIT
About to play his 17th season, Peppers ranks fourth with 154.5 career sacks and made the All-2000s team.
2001: Leonard Davis
Team: Cardinals
Position: Offensive tackle
School: Texas
Years in NFL: 11
Pro Bowls: 3
Verdict: HIT
Davis’ career didn’t take off until he joined the Cowboys, making three straight Pro Bowls starting at right guard.
2000: LaVar Arrington
Team: Redskins
Position: Linebacker
School: Penn St.
Years in NFL: 7
Pro Bowls: 3
Verdict: HIT
His career cut short by injuries, Arrington was one of the NFL’s most feared linebackers in his prime.
1999: Donovan McNabb
Team: Eagles
Position: Quarterback
School: Syracuse
Years in NFL: 13
Pro Bowls: 6
Verdict: HIT
He may not have won a Super Bowl, but McNabb and the Eagles dominated the NFC East for years.
1998: Ryan Leaf
Team: Chargers
Position: Quarterback
School: Washington St.
Years in NFL: 3
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
Arguably the biggest bust in draft history, Leaf’s career was marked by bad play, bad attitude and injuries.
1997: Darrell Russell
Team: Raiders
Position: Defensive tackle
School: USC
Years in NFL: 6
Pro Bowls: 2
Verdict: MISS
Russell was one of the league’s best linemen before repeatedly testing positive for drugs wiped out his career.
1996: Kevin Hardy
Team: Jaguars
Position: Linebacker
School: Illinois
Years in NFL: 9
Pro Bowls: 1
Verdict: HIT
Was a key component of four straight playoff trips for the Jags and was named to 1999 All-Pro team.
1995: Tony Boselli
Team: Jaguars
Position: Offensive tackle
School: USC
Years in NFL: 7
Pro Bowls: 5
Verdict: HIT
A Hall of Fame candidate despite his injury-shortened career, he’s a beloved figure in Jacksonville.
1994: Marshall Faulk
Team: Colts
Position: Running back
School: San Diego St.
Years in NFL: 12
Pro Bowls: 7
Verdict: HIT
Lethal as a runner and a receiver, Faulk was key part of Rams’ “Greatest Show on Turf” offense.
1993: Rick Mirer
Team: Seahawks
Position: Quarterback
School: Notre Dame
Years in NFL: 12
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
Mirer threw 56 interceptions in four years for the Seahawks, and by his fifth season had become a career backup.
1992: Quentin Coryatt
Team: Colts
Position: Linebacker
School: Texas A&M
Years in NFL: 7
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
Injuries limited him to only four full seasons, cutting short a promising career with three 100-plus tackle seasons.
1991: Eric Turner
Team: Browns
Position: Safety
School: UCLA
Years in NFL: 9
Pro Bowls: 2
Verdict: HIT
Led league in interceptions in 1994 and was an All-Pro selection. Died suddenly at 31 due to stomach cancer.
1990: Blair Thomas
Team: Jets
Position: Running back
School: Penn St.
Years in NFL: 6
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
Thomas never ran for 1,000 yards and only scored seven career TDs before washing out of the league.
1989: Tony Mandarich
Team: Packers
Position: Offensive tackle
School: Michigan St.
Years in NFL: 7
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
Hyped offensive lineman fell victim to poor work ethic and a painkiller addiction as a pro.
1988: Neil Smith
Team: Chiefs
Position: Defensive end
School: Nebraska
Years in NFL: 13
Pro Bowls: 6
Verdict: HIT
Led league with 15 sacks in 1993 before joining Broncos to win two Super Bowls. All-Decade Team member.
1987: Cornelius Bennett
Team: Colts
Position: Linebacker
School: Alabama
Years in NFL: 14
Pro Bowls: 5
Verdict: HIT
Two-time AFC Defensive Player of the Year was a leader on Bills team that made four straight Super Bowls.
1986: Tony Casillas
Team: Falcons
Position: Defensive tackle
School: Oklahoma
Years in NFL: 12
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: HIT
Had several productive seasons in Atlanta before becoming starter on two-time champion Cowboys.
1985: Bill Fralic
Team: Falcons
Position: Guard
School: Pittsburgh
Years in NFL: 9
Pro Bowls: 4
Verdict: HIT
Made four Pro Bowls within first five seasons as one of the league’s most prolific run-blocking linemen.
1984: Dean Steinkuhler
Team: Oilers
Position: Guard
School: Nebraska
Years in NFL: 7
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
A five-year starter, Steinkuhler had become a backup by his sixth year and was soon out of the league.
1983: Eric Dickerson
Team: Rams
Position: Running back
School: SMU
Years in NFL: 11
Pro Bowls: 6
Verdict: HIT
Set rookie rushing record, then single-season rushing record in 1984, and his 13,259 career yards rank eighth.
1982: Johnie Cooks
Team: Colts
Position: Linebacker
School: Mississippi St.
Years in NFL: 10
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
Peaked in 1984 with 11.5 sacks, but was cut in 1988. Caught on with Giants, playing on their 1990 Super Bowl team.
1981: Lawrence Taylor
Lawrence Taylor, with the Super Bowl XXI trophyGetty ImagesTeam: Giants
Position: Linebacker
School: North Carolina
Years in NFL: 13
Pro Bowls: 10
Verdict: HIT
Led Giants to two Super Bowls and is one of just two defensive players to be named NFL MVP (1986).
1980: Johnny “Lam” Jones
Team: Jets
Position: Wide receiver
School: Texas
Years in NFL: 5
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
World-class sprinter cost the Jets two first-round picks in a trade, but one problem: he couldn’t catch.
1979: Mike Bell
Team: Chiefs
Position: Defensive end
School: Colorado St.
Years in NFL: 12
Pro Bowls: 0
Verdict: MISS
Had lengthy career entirely with Kansas City, but never made Pro Bowl team, though he did post 40 sacks.
1978: Art Still
Team: Chiefs
Position: Defensive end
School: Kentucky
Years in NFL: 12
Pro Bowls: 4
Verdict: HIT
Led Chiefs in sacks in six different seasons and ranks seventh in sacks in franchise history.




