Dave Tuley, senior reporter at VSiN.com, is in his third season with the Post’s Bettor’s Guide. His handicapping pieces appear in VSiN’s online magazine, Point Spread Weekly. (Home team in CAPS)

The Broncos certainly stepped up for us in beating the Patriots outright last Sunday, but I’ve been equally impressed with how the defense has kept them in games vs. the Titans (which looks better with each passing week) and Steelers (ditto), as the 2-3 Broncos are 4-1 against the spread. This line is on the rise after everyone watched the Chiefs pull away to cover against the Bills on Monday, but I contend that’s the market overvaluing the Chiefs. Wait to see if we can get +10. If inclement weather hits Denver on Sunday as forecast, that tends to help level the playing field for underdogs.

The Panthers’ three-game winning streak was snapped with their 23-16 loss to the Bears last Sunday, but I expect them — especially the offense — to fare better against the Saints, who have let lesser teams (Lions and Chargers) stick around. So getting more than a TD is too hard to resist. This looks like an example of New Orleans being credited too many points for home-field advantage. Though the Saints looked their best in their Week 1 home win over the Buccaneers, they lost to the Packers 37-30 in Week 3 at home then won but didn’t cover as 7-point home faves vs. the Chargers in Week 5 before their bye. I expect a similar result with the points coming in handy.

Last Week: 2-0, Broncos (W), Eagles (W).
2020 Season: 5-6-1.