Winnipeg got back in the win column last week in a 26-24 home win over Calgary. But it was the Blue Bombers’ third straight against-the-spread loss after a perfect 5-0 straight up and ATS start to the CFL season.
Oddsmakers are pricing Winnipeg properly now, and there is no bargain to back this team anymore. The Blue Bombers are alone in first place in the West Division at 6-2 SU, but are now just 5-3 ATS. Their offense has sputtered in each of its last three games, and the team has relied more on its defense and strong special teams.
British Columbia provided the effort and desperation you’d like to see from a 1-6 team coming out of a bye week against Hamilton on Saturday, but the Lions can’t close. BC had a two-possession lead in the fourth quarter … then its defense couldn’t get a stop, and a 34-19 lead became a 35-34 loss.
The BC offense was much better mostly because the offensive line, featuring some new starters, stepped up its play. However, the defense continued to be unable to come up with stops at critical times as the Lions remain dead last in the CFL in points allowed this season.
The point-spread value here certainly is with BC, which covered as a double-digit road underdog in Hamilton. But I worry about the mentality and fragility of this team after a heartbreaking loss and now having to play a second straight road game in six days.
The Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. BC, with its reeling defense, should prove just what Winnipeg’s offense needs to get back on track. We cashed the Over in BC-Hamilton in this space last week, and we’ll go in that same direction here.
The play: BC-Winnipeg, Over 52 ¹/₂ points.



