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Our NFL betting expert brings you his best Dolphins vs. Patriots predictions and picks for their NFL Week 1 showdown, which is live Sunday on CBS at 1 EST.

The Patriots have struggled to win in Miami for nearly a decade now, and with the Dolphins’ new arsenal of offensive weapons at the disposal of first-year coach Mike McDaniel, it looks like things won’t be getting any easier for New England.

All eyes will be on Dolphins first-year head coach Mike McDaniel, who took over for Brian Flores after he was somewhat surprisingly fired back in January.

McDaniel will be tested right out of the gate in a duel with Bill Belichick. New England has typically fallen back on its defense in seasons past, but with a lot of unanswered questions on that side of the ball, it might be harder than ever to stall a revamped Miami offense.

The Dolphins have won four of their last five and seven of their last nine on their home turf against New England. In those seven victories, Miami has won by at least four points six times.

Pro Bowl cornerback J.C. Jackson left in free agency, putting the Patriots’ secondary at a major disadvantage against Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Cedrick Wilson Jr. and Mike Gesicki.

Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is going to have a field day through the air and the defense should do just enough for the Dolphins to escape Week 1 with a reasonably comfortable win.

Our Pick: Dolphins (-3.5) @ -110 with Caesars Sportsbook

Patriots kicker Nick Folk has been phenomenal over the past two seasons, making 62 of 67 field goal attempts (92.5 percent) in 33 regular-season games.

Folk converted at least two field goals in six of New England’s first eight games last season and could see similar numbers to start the new campaign due to a banged-up Patriots offense.

Receivers Jakobi Meyers and Ty Montgomery were limited during Wednesday’s practice, meaning quarterback Mac Jones might have less to work with come Sunday. If that’s the case, New England should be able to drive down the field, but six points will be harder to come by.

Our Pick: Nick Folk over 1.5 made field goals @ +104 with Caesars Sportsbook

All signs are pointing toward Tyreek Hill putting up massive numbers in his Dolphins debut.

His counterpart Jaylen Waddle — who scored TDs in both meetings with the Pats last season — likely won’t be 100 percent due to a quad injury. New England’s secondary doesn’t have anyone that can match up with Hill one-on-one and the six-time Pro Bowl selection has historically feasted against the Patriots.

In four career games against New England, Hill has hauled in 24 receptions for 401 yards and five touchdowns.

He’s also scored in five of six season openers since entering the league in 2016, and probably would have scored in all six if a shoulder injury in the first quarter of the 2018 opener didn’t force him out of the game.

Our Pick: Tyreek Hill to score a touchdown @ +120 with Caesars Sportsbook

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.