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Marlins vs. Rockies prediction: Starter provides value on this bet

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Tommy Stokke, Action Network
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Jun 23, 2022

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The Rockies and Marlins are scheduled to wrap up their three-game series on Thursday afternoon. Although Colorado is in last place in the NL West at 30-38, it would probably be closer to a .500 team if not for an eight-game deficit on the road.

Despite its struggles overall away from home, bettors can still have confidence backing the team on the road against left-handers. In this spot, Colorado has a .290/.354/.445 split vs. lefties vs. a .251/.313/.401 when facing a right-hander.

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The Rockies will face another southpaw with Braxton Garrett set to make his fourth start. Garrett is 1-2 with a 4.85 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP. His advanced numbers have yet to signal some positive regression, given his 4.97 FIP.

Kyle Freeland pitches for the Colorado Rockies. Getty Images Kyle Freeland pitches for the Colorado Rockies. Getty Images

Colorado also will start a lefty as Kyle Freeland gets set to make his 14th appearance. Freeland is 3-5 with a 4.46 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. However, Freeland has been much better on the road where he’s 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA vs. 2-3 with a 5.32 ERA at Coors Field.

Moreover, Miami continues to struggle against left-handers as evidenced by a .209/.283/.315 line compared to .253/.320/.418 against right-handers.

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According to our ActionLabs database, Colorado is 71-61 in Freeland’s 132 career starts for a profit of 17.03 units. The Rockies are also 2-0 in his starts against Miami. I’d look to back the visitors on Thursday.

Marlins vs. Rockies prediction

Rockies +115 — odds courtesy of BetMGM

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