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Playoff baseball is here! The stakes are high and the games have been a blast to watch.
Let’s add to that excitement and find a few PrizePicks plays for Wednesday.
Sonny Gray less than 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
Gray, a long-time veteran whose career was often bit by the injury bug, enjoyed a stellar season for the Minnesota Twins.
Gray logged a sparkling 2.79 ERA but averaged just less than one strikeout per inning.
The stakes are high in the second game against Toronto, which could be a tough matchup for him.
The Blue Jays own the 10th-best strikeout rate vs. right-handed pitching since Aug. 1 and have been seventh-best (20.4 percent) since Sept. 1.
Toronto is projected to start five hitters with individual K rates better than 21 percent against righties. Gray will likely be competitive at this number, but I believe he’ll come up just short Wednesday.
Sonny Gray of the Minnesota Twins. Getty ImagesJose Berrios more than 5.0 Pitcher Strikeouts
On the flip side of this game, we have the ever-so-volatile Berrios on the bump.
Berrios rebounded from a lackluster 2022 with nearly a four percent increase in strikeout rate and a respectable 3.65 ERA. He’ll square off against a Twins team that has struck out 24.2 percent of the time vs. righties since Sept. 1, good for 10th-worst in baseball during that stretch.
In terms of putaway percentage (via baseballsavant), Jose’s changeup is his best out-pitch. According to RotoGrinders PlateIQ, dating back to the beginning of 2022, the bottom of the projected Minnesota lineup has been allergic to making contact against right-handed changeups.
Berrios has been incredible across the last 30 days, sporting a strikeout rate north of 30 percent.
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Trea Turner more than 7.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
Death, taxes and the Marlins developing pitching. Braxton Garrett has exceeded expectations and has the stuff (health pending) to become a middle-of-the-rotation starting pitcher in the league.
However, righties have found occasional success against him this season with a .326 wOBA, a 59% hard-hit rate and a nine percent barrel rate.
Trea Turner is now an absurd 31-of-31 in stolen base attempts this season. He added to that tally on Tuesday night in Game 1 and I have no doubt he will be off and running if he gets on base again. A speedster in great platoon advantage hitting toward the top of the lineup? Not much more we can ask for here.
