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Our NFL betting expert offers best betting picks and predictions of the “Monday Night Football” matchup between the Las Vegas Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
The Raiders (1-3) finally got a victory under first-year coach Josh McDaniels, besting Denver and pedaling toward Arrowhead Stadium for a meeting with the Chiefs (3-1).
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Raiders vs. Chiefs predictions
- Chiefs to cover -7 at -115 with Caesars Sportsbook
- Travis Kelce over 71.5 receiving yards at -119 with Caesars Sportsbook
- Davante Adams over 76.5 receiving yards at -135 with Caesars Sportsbook
Raiders vs. Chiefs odds
Raiders vs. Chiefs picks and analysis
A close-up with new Raiders wide receiver Davante Adams is coming for Kansas City, and Las Vegas needs no introduction to the Chiefs’ top receiving weapon, tight end Travis Kelce.
Running backs have been the unheralded key to each offense, with Clyde Edwards-Helaire churning out yards for the Chiefs and Josh Jacobs experiencing a revival for the Raiders.
Chiefs -7
Kansas City has the Raiders’ number, winning the past three meetings by a combined score of 124-54. They’ve won all but one of the last nine meetings and 13 of the last 15 matchups.
Patrick Mahomes makes a ridiculous jump throw to Clyde Edwards-Helaire Getty ImagesUntil Las Vegas emerges as a stable defensive outfit, the Chiefs are in a different class. Kansas City is finding big plays — 16 receptions of 20-plus yards — even without Tyreek Hill at wide receiver. That’s because Patrick Mahomes hasn’t gone away.
Entering Week 5, he has completed 66.4 percent of his passes for 1,106 yards and 11 touchdowns. His 82.3 quarterback rating is tops in the NFL.
Our Pick: Chiefs to cover -7
Kelce over 71.5 receiving yards
Kelce (26 receptions, 322 yards, 3 TDs) has cleared 100 yards in three of the past four games against the Raiders in KC. Personnel-wise, the Raiders haven’t made the significant changes other teams in the division did on the defensive side of the ball. Las Vegas adjusted the front seven, but none of the newcomers are an answer for Kelce.
Kelce’s past four-game yardage totals against the Raiders: 76, 83, 127, 108.
Our Pick: Travis Kelce over 71.5 receiving yards
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Davante Adams Getty ImagesDavante Adams over 76.5 receiving yards
Adams is making plays — 26 receptions, 290 yards, three scores — but the Raiders aren’t getting it done in the clutch. Their three losses are by a total of 13 points this season.
The Chiefs are prone to giving up points and big plays in the passing game. While the run defense allows less than 66 yards per game, Kansas City’s pass defense is surrendering 2.5 passing TDs per game and a completion percentage over 70 to opposing passers.
Our Pick: Davante Adams over 76.5 receiving yards
