Dave Tuley, senior reporter at VSiN.com, is in his third season with the Post’s Bettor’s Guide. His handicapping pieces appear in VSiN’s online magazine, Point Spread Weekly.

OK, so I took the loss with the Jets +20 against the Chiefs last Sunday, but that doesn’t mean I’m not willing to try to fade Kansas City again. This week, Carolina visits Arrowhead Stadium with QB Teddy Bridgewater flinging the ball around to WRs Robby Anderson, D.J. Moore and Curtis Samuel, plus the Panthers get back star RB Christian McCaffrey. I’m still not sold on the Chiefs defense now that it is facing a better offense, so this should be a shootout, and we just need the Panthers to keep within a touchdown and a field goal.

Denver has been competitive all year at 5-2 ATS with a defense that keeps it in games, while QB Drew Lock has been serviceable with RB Phillip Lindsay adding a spark to the running game along with Melvin Gordon. The Falcons got a much-needed win against the Panthers last Thursday, but I have no problem fading them here, as their No. 28-ranked defense (allowing 410.6 yards and 28 points per game) should make the Broncos look even better.

Last week: 1-1, Jets (L), Patriots (W).
2020 season: 7-8-1.