Here’s a test for our conviction to embrace the home underdogs. The Seahawks’ home-field advantage isn’t what it once was, especially as the team has been gutted. They also did get blown out 42-7 at home by this same Rams team last December. On the flip side, however, the Rams were only 1-point road favorites in that game. Some may say the 6-point adjustment is warranted, but it still seems too much to me.

There’s also the fact that the Seahawks’ best performance so far this season was in their lone home game, beating the Cowboys, 24-13. Pete Carroll somehow has gotten this team to 2-2, and though he now has to replace the injured Earl Thomas, we’re counting on the 12th Man to keep this within one touchdown (or two field goals).

The play: Seahawks +7¹/₂.