Logo

Action Network

Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more.

The Miami Marlins and San Francisco Giants will get their seasons underway on Friday at 4:35 p.m. ET, with the Giants sitting as -135 favorites and the Fish coming back as +115 underdogs. The Over/Under is set at 7.5, so oddsmakers are expecting a pitchers’ duel between San Francisco’s Logan Webb and Miami’s Sandy Alcantara.

Webb and Alcantara are both trendy Cy Young sleepers coming into the season, and it’s pretty easy to see why bettors would want to back them at 25/1 odds.

Only Corbin Burnes — the regning Cy Young winner — beat Webb’s 2.79 xFIP last season and only Framber Valdez had a higher groundball rate than the Giants’ Opening Day starter. The rest of Webb’s 2021 statline sparkled, as the 25-year-old pitched to a 3.03 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 9.59 K/9 and 0.55 HR/9 in 148 1/3 innings.

Bet $20 Get $100 in Bonus Bets!
New WynnBet users only. Must be 21+. Offer available in AZ, CO, IN, LA, MI, NJ, NY, TN, VA only. Full Terms and Conditions Apply.

Caesars Sportsbook Logo Square
Up to $1,250 First Bet on Caesars with code NPBONUSFULL
New players only, 21+. Available in AZ, CO, IA, IL, PA, IN, KS, LA, MI, NJ, NY, TN, VA, WV only. Full Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet $1, Get $200 in Bonus Bets
New players only, 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Available in NJ, CO, VA, OH only. Deposit required. Bonus Bets added to Bonus Bets balance. Bonus Bets risk excluded from returns. Terms and Conditions, time limits and exclusions apply.

The BetRivers Logo
2nd Chance Bet up to $500 with code NYPBONUS
New players only, 21+. Available in AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, LA, MI, NJ, PA, VA only. In order to participate in this promotion, the player needs to make a first deposit (of at least $10). Full Terms and Conditions apply.

The BetRivers Logo
2nd Chance Bet up to $100 with code NYPBONUS
New players only, 21+. Available in NY only. In order to participate in this promotion, the player needs to make a first deposit (of at least $10). Full Terms and Conditions apply.

betPARX
Bet $10, Get $125 in Sports Bonus if your first bet wins
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Must be 21+ and located in PA or NJ. New users & winning bets only. Terms and Conditions apply. See website for details.

100% match up to $500
Claim your eligible bonus from within account after login per promotion instructions. Either way, get a 100% match up to $250 on your first deposit. Only one code may be used. First Deposit Bonus may only be claimed once per person. Must be 21+. CT only. Full Terms and Conditions apply.

Bet $10, Get $125 If Your Bet Wins!
New users only, 21+. Available in MI only. Full Terms and Conditions apply.


  Logan Webb reacts after throwing a strikeout during the NLDS. MLB Photos via Getty Images Logan Webb reacts after throwing a strikeout during the NLDS. MLB Photos via Getty Images

While Webb’s numbers were boosted by playing for a 107-win team, Alcantara performed admirably for the Marlins, who finished 67-95. By season’s end, Alcantara ranked in the 98th percentile in chase rate and led all pitchers (min. 100 innings pitched) in average fastball velocity.

Alcantara isn’t all fastball, though, and was able to rely on his secondary pitches to keep batters off balance. That arsenal helped the 26-year-old notch over 200 punchouts in 205 2/3 innings pitched.

One similarity between Webb and Alcantara is that neither pitcher walked a lot of batters in 2021. Of pitchers who hurled at least 100 innings, Webb ranked 28th with a 2.18 BB/9, while Alcantara was right behind him in 30th at 2.19 walks per nine.

With baserunners projecting to be at a premium in this matchup and both starters working in a pitcher-friendly ballpark in early April, a play on the under looks quite enticing. But since neither of these bullpens instills much confidence — FanGraphs rates Miami’s relief core as the 16th-best in the MLB and San Francisco’s at 22nd — it may be wise to take the bullpens out of this equation and bet the F5 Under at 3.5 at -110 or better.

Comments
anonymous profile image
Powered by RoundtableBuilt on infrastructure designed for real-time media. Learn more at RTB.io.© Roundtable 2026. By using this site you agree to the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy