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Unless playoff implications are at stake, Week 18’s “last-day-of-school” nature prompts some more-or-less unexciting football.
On the contrary, it’s the last shot for NFL players with bonus incentives in their contracts to meet their milestones.
Oddsmakers will adapt accordingly in the player prop markets with these narratives influencing just how expensive some prices are.
We’ve detailed some of the key bonus scenarios across the league, each of which at least plausible in the regular season finale. Depending on matchup context and the threshold, the narratives make workload markets optimal targets rather than sheer output.
Aside from money-related incentives, Christian McCaffrey is 110 receiving yards away from becoming the only player in NFL history to hit 1,000 yards in both rushing and receiving in multiple seasons.
Myles Garrett is one sack shy of setting the NFL’s single-season record.
If Justin Jefferson collects 53 yards, he will have hit 1,000 for six straight seasons.
Be sure to check this page before Sunday’s games kickoff as more line populate at sportsbooks.
Sam Darnold #14 of the Seattle Seahawks reacts after a touchdown against the Carolina Panthers during the third quarter at Bank of America Stadium on December 28, 2025 in Charlotte, North Carolina. Getty ImagesWeek 18 player incentive tracker
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.





