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Favorites are a wagon in the NFL right now.

Week 2 saw more of the same from the favorites, as favorites of at least four points improved to 12-0 straight up (SU) this season.

Week 3 features some more solid matchups to pick apart for your pick’em or Survivor pool.

Last week, more than 85 percent of the contestants in the Las Vegas-based Circa Sportsbook survivor contest made it through.

Nineteen percent of Circa entries had the Cowboys against the Giants and they should be singing kicker Brandon Aubrey’s praises that they weren’t given the boot from survivor pools.

This week poses even more lopsided matchups than last week.

As of Wednesday, Justin Fields has been ruled out, and Tyrod Taylor is certainly a downgrade behind center.

With that new update, the Jets are a clear fade this weekend and Tampa Bay becomes an even more intriguing survivor pick than previously discussed.

I have upgraded the Buccaneers and moved them from No. 4 to No. 3 on my survivor ranks for Week 3, surpassing the Saints as my favorite punt play of the week.

Jayden Daniels is also trying to get out there and play of the Commanders. The uncertainty surrounding Washington is a concern in what would otherwise be a smash spot for survivor players.

The Commanders would be an obvious play against the Raiders on a short week if Daniels suits up.

For now, they remain low on the ranks at No. 12 until we get clarity on the situation, with potential to move up to the top five if he does suit up.

Moreover, JJ McCarthy is now out for the Vikings, and Carson Wentz is expected to start. This could actually be an upgrade for the entire Vikings offense despite losing Aaron Jones.

On a short week, it’s hard to back them, but if you’re fearful of a lot of upsets, you could do worse than taking the Vikings, whose defense could carry them against Jake Browning and the Bengals.

Survivor Week 3 confidence rankings

Bills (-12.5, BetMGM) vs. Dolphins

By far the biggest favorite of the week, many will attempt to avoid playing the Bills here on a short week in this “Thursday Night Football” matchup.

The Bills just embarrassed the Jets on the road and now host the Dolphins, whom they have beaten nine times in their last 10 matchups.


  The Bills will be a popular Survivor pick this week. AP The Bills will be a popular Survivor pick this week. AP

That’s even more startling when you consider the Dolphins have actually been solid in recent years and even a playoff team.

I suspect even though many will try to get by this week without using the Bills, that 30 percent of entries will be used on Buffalo in the big Circa pool.

Packers (-8) at Browns

Even as a Joe Flacco supporter, it is difficult to get behind the Browns at this point. Last week, Flacco threw for under 200 yards and seriously struggled to get the ball to his receivers.

The Ravens’ defense isn’t a world-beating unit at this point, but the Packers sure are.

The addition of Micah Parsons, as well as a healthy Rashan Gary, has given the Packers a defense that flies around all over the field.

Cleveland certainly has a tough spot, even at home, against Green Bay.

Betting on the NFL?

Seahawks (-7.5) vs. Saints

Here’s your punt play.

The Saints have quietly played pretty well, losing both games by one score.

Spencer Rattler, whom I continue to be a fan of, is completing passes at a 65 percent clip with four touchdowns and no interceptions.


  Spencer Rattler has kept the Saints competitive. Getty Images Spencer Rattler has kept the Saints competitive. Getty Images

The Seahawks, though, just beat a Steelers team that we are pretty sure is half-decent.

At least 15 percent of entries will have the Seahawks.

This is your “hang onto your marbles” choice for Week 3. Good luck to those who partake.

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.

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