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Propositional bets are available year-round for almost all major sports, but they absolutely explode for the Super Bowl. In recent years, the handle (the amount of money accepted by the books) for prop bets has nearly overtaken the handle for conventional Super Bowl betting (winner vs. spread, Over/Under, etc).

Before we dig into some Super Bowl prop betting tips, it’s important to note two big ground rules. First, you cannot parlay props with other props. This means you can’t tie multiple props into the same bet and try to increase your payout. Second, all the “wacky” props that people like to bet on — including the length of the national anthem, the color of the Gatorade dumped on the winning coach, the first commercial and which songs will be sung during the halftime show — are not available in Nevada. The Gaming Control Board does not allow it. Other states, such as New Jersey, do allow such prop bets.

Here are some tips for winning Super Bowl props …

Don’t go crazy and bet too many props

The sheer volume of available Super Bowl prop bets can be overwhelming. There are literally hundreds to choose from. If you can think of one, chances are there’s a sportsbook offering it. On one hand, this is a gift because you have so many chances to make money. But it can also be a curse and lead you to betting way too many. Don’t feel as if you have to bet every single one. Pick a few that you feel you have a strong edge on. You would hate to spend two weeks handicapping the game and cash your spread or Over/Under play but then go 5-10 on prop bets and forfeit your hard-earned winnings.

Shop for the best line

If you are looking to buy a new car, are you going to head down the street to the nearest dealership and take whatever price they’re offering? Of course not. You are going to do your homework, compare prices at several dealerships and buy the car at the place that offers the best price. Bettors should approach prop betting the same way. Once you identify a prop you feel has value, shop around and make sure you get the best line. If you like Aaron Jones Under rushing yards, look for the prop at a handful of books. One might have the Over/Under at 107.5, the next at 105.5 or another at 102.5. It can be the difference between a win, a loss and a push.

Lean on No and Under

Pros and Joes both love betting prop bets, but they typically approach them from different mindsets. Average Joes gravitate toward Yes, plus-money prices and Over. They want to get rich quick and are mesmerized by the big payouts because they want to turn their $10 into $100. They want to bet Overs because they are psychologically biased toward wanting to see a high-scoring, fun, action-packed game. It’s no fun to root for an Under. However, the sportsbooks know this and shade numbers toward public sides, which creates added value to go the other way. If pros saw value on Overs, they likely hit them immediately when the props opened. If you’re late to the party, all the Over value is gone because most numbers have been bet and moved. As a result, waiting late to take Unders isn’t a bad idea. Every year, two wiseguy favorites are to bet “no” on “Will there be a safety?” and “Will the game go to overtime?” Also, sharps aren’t scared off by the minus number as long as they see value.

Don’t bet the coin flip

One of the most popular prop bets is the coin flip. On the surface, it seems like a fun bet. After all, it’s either heads or tails. You have a 50-50 chance, and if you win, you get paid out before the game even starts. However, it’s not exactly a 50-50 shot because sportsbooks juice both sides to -103 or -105 or -110. This is why books love the coin-flip prop. No matter the outcome, they rake in the juice and are guaranteed a profit. Unless you see a book offering even money on a coin flip, you should lay off. The juice isn’t worth the squeeze. Also, don’t bet one-sided props. If the books are allowing only one option, there is likely a reason behind it. Don’t fall into the trap.

Follow prop line movement

Unfortunately, there is no prop live-odds page that keeps an up-to-date record of every prop line. However, you can still look for sharp line movement the old-fashioned way — with a notebook or a spreadsheet. Write down the current prices on the props you are interested in. Then check in on them every 12 or 24 hours. See which way they’ve moved. By monitoring the movement, you can get a good idea which are receiving heavy betting. If you see Patrick Mahomes rushing yards start to dip from 31.5 to 29.5, it’s safe to assume the Under is getting hit hard. You could then shop for the best line and look for a book still hanging a 31.5 before it moves. You could also buy low or sell high based on a huge market move. For example, if Mahomes’ rushing prop falls drastically from 31.5 to 21.5, you could buy low on the over 21.5 for value sake alone.

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