Box Office: Bah, humbug!
Looks like there’s no stopping “Disney’s A Christmas Carol” — presumably “Disney’s War and Peace” will arrive next year, followed by “Disney’s The Great Gatsby” — from triumphing over three other new wide releases this weekend. Most prognosticators figure Robert Zemeckis’ massively promoted motion-capture animation epic with Jim Carrey will open around $40 million. Which doesn’t sound all that impressive, when you consider that the Mouse House’s flop “Chicken Little” did around the same five years ago, and that one wasn’t showing on a record 2,000+ 3-D screens (180 in IMAX), all of which charge an admission premium, out of a total of 3,683 venues. True, Christmas-themed movies like Zemeckis’ “The Polar Express” tend to have long legs, but you’d better believe that this reportedly faithful retelling of Dickens was extremely expensive. I haven’t seen it yet because Disney oddly decided to save a few bucks by not screening it for the press in NYC in IMAX 3-D, as Warner and Paramount did for Zemeckis’ “Polar Express” and “Beowulf.” I personally find “Disney Digital 3-D” positively headache-inducing. My intrepid colleague Kyle Smith, who wrote a book called “A Christmas Caroline,” gives the flick a thumbs-down with two stars, and the critics at Rotten Tomatoes have received it tepidly, with only 55 percent positive reviews. Though “This Is It” opened disappointingly last weekend with $22 million, experts think he other new competition is so weak that Jacko may hang in second place, even with a 50 percent drop. “This Is It” was originally announced as a two-week run, but Sony extended that to five after the flick turned out not to be anywhere near as front-loaded as everyone expected. Plus, Sony had to back off plans to rush it onto DVD just before Christmas after theater owners threatened to boot “2012.” Paramount’s resilient holdover “Paranormal Activity” will be battling for third place with a pair of new female-driven shockers aimed at more or less the same audience: Universal’s cheapo mockumentary “The Fourth Kind” with Milla Jovovich (two stars from Kyle, 13 percent at RT) and Warners’ expensive but woeful “The Box” with Cameron Diaz (one star from me, 46 percent at RT). These are playing at around 2,500 locations apiece, as is Overture’s “The Men Who Stare at Goats.” As I noted when it played Toronto, I enjoyed this quirkfest with George Clooney, Kevin Spacey, Jeff Bridges and erstwhile Jedi warrior Ewan McGregor. It’s the week’s best-reviewed wide release at RT, albeit with a not-quite-fresh 57 percent. Kyle, who is not amused, gives it one star and forecasts predict an opening in the mid-single digits, landing as low as sixth place.

