Oscar ballots close at 5 p.m. PST today and as much as I would love to see Ellen Page — who turns 21 on Thursday, the day after she graces this year’s final edition of The Envelope (pictured) in the Los Angeles Times — become the youngest Best Actress winner ever, it really doesn’t look like that’s going to happen. In fact, it looks like it’s going to be one of the dullest Oscar shows ever. Absolutely nothing has happened in the Oscar race since the predictable “Juno” backlash a few weeks ago, so it looks like Fox Searchlight will have to settle for a Best Original Screenplay Oscar, and becoming their $7.5 million wonder becoming platform release since “My Big Fat Greek Wedding.” With the writers’ strike providing a major distraction, Oscar bloggers have been going crazy trying to find something to write about since there is but one true “race” in all eight major categories — Best Supporting Actress, where the favored Cate Blanchett could be upset by Amy Ryan, Ruby Dee or Tilda Swinton. Do I think Cate will lose, possibly giving Harvey Weinstein a heart attack? Read on, Oscar pool bettors:
BEST PICTURE
Probable Winner: “No Country for Old Men”
Upset: “Michael Clayton”
BEST DIRECTOR
Probable Winner: Joel and Ethan Coen, “No Country for Old Men.”
Upset: Julian Schnabel, “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly.”
BEST ACTOR
Probable Winner: Daniel Day Lewis, “There Will Be Blood”
Upset: George Clooney, “Michael Clayton.”
BEST ACTRESS
Probable Winner: Julie Christie, “Away From Her”
Upset: Ellen Page, “Juno.”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Probable Winner: Javier Bardem, “No Country for Old Men”
Upset: Michael Wilkinson, “Michael Clayton”
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Probable Winner: Cate Blanchett, “I’m Not There”
Upset: Amy Ryan, “Gone Baby Gone”
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Probable Winner: Diablo Cody, “Juno.”
Upset: Tony Gilroy, “Michael Clayton.”
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Probable Winner: Joel and Ethan Coen, “No Country for Old Men.”
Upset: Ronald Harwood, “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly.”
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE
Probable Winner: “The Counterfeiters”
Upset: “Katyn”
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Probable Winner: “No End in Sight”
Upset: “Taxi to the Dark Side”
ANIMATED FEATURE
Probable Winner: “Ratatouille”
Upset: “Persepolis”
ART DIRECTION
Probable Winner: “Sweeney Todd”
Upset: “Atonement”
CINEMATOGRAPHY
Probable Winner: Roger Deakins, “No Country for Old Men”
Upset: Robert Elswit, “No Country for Old Men.”
COSTUME DESIGN
Probable Winner: “Atonement”
Upset: Sweeney Todd
FILM EDITING
Probable Winner: “No Country for Old Men”
Upset: “The Bourne Ultimatum”
MAKEUP
Probable Winner: “La Vie En Rose”
Upset: “Norbit”
SCORE
Probable Winner: “Ratatouille”
Upset: “Atonement”
SONG
Probable Winner: “Falling Slowly” from “Once”
Upset: “That’s How You Know” from “Enchanted”
SOUND EDITING
Probable Winner: “No Country for Old Men”
Upset: “The Bourne Ultimatum”
SOUND MIXING
Probable Winner: “No Country for Old Men”
Upset: “The Bourne Ultimatum”
VISUAL EFFECTS
Probable Winner: “Transformers”
Upset: “Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End”
DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Probable Winner: “Freeheld”
Upset: “Sari’s Mother”
LIVE-ACTION SHORT
Probable Winner: “The Mozart of Pickpockets”
Upset: “At Night”
ANIMATED SHORT
Probable Winner: “My Love”
Upset: “Madame Tutli Putli”
