AND THE AWARD GOES TO …
Film critic Lou Lumenick predicts who will win Sunday.
BEST PICTURE
– “Babel”
* “The Departed”
– “Letters From Iwo Jima”
– “Little Miss Sunshine”
– “The Queen”
Scorsese’s probable win gives it the edge in an incredibly closely matched field. But I wouldn’t be shocked if “Little Miss Sunshine” or “Babel” won instead.
BEST DIRECTOR
– Clint Eastwood, “Letters from Iwo Jima”
– Stephen Frears, “The Queen”
– Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, “Babel”
– Paul Greengrass, “United 93”
* Martin Scorsese, “The Departed”
It’s finally Marty’s year; fortunately, he doesn’t have Harvey helping him. It doesn’t hurt that “The Departed” is the most commercially successful movie of his career.
BEST ACTRESS
– Penelope Cruz, “Volver”
– Judi Dench, “Notes on a Scandal”
* Helen Mirren, “The Queen”
– Meryl Streep, “The Devil Wears Prada”
– Kate Winslet, “Little Children”
Is this the Oscars or a second coronation for QE 2? Even Ladbrokes stopping takes bets on the unstoppable Mirren months ago.
BEST ACTOR
– Leonardo DiCaprio, “Blood Diamond”
– Ryan Gosling, “Half Nelson”
– Peter O’Toole, “Venus”
– Will Smith, “The Pursuit of Happyness”
* Forest Whitaker, “The Last King of Scotland.”
Awards across the board for this veteran, who deserved an Oscar for “Bird” decades ago. And, no, it wasn’t exactly a stretch for O’Toole to play a dying elderly actor.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
– Adriana Barraza, “Babel”
– Cate Blanchett, “Notes on a Scandal”
– Abigail Breslin, “Little Miss Sunshine”
* Jennifer Hudson, “Dreamgirls”
– Rinko Kikuchi, “Babel”
Newcomers often reign in this category. But if the “Dreamgirls” backlash results in a “The Color Purple”-style shutout, Breslin could pull off an upset.
SUPPORTING ACTOR
* Alan Arkin, “Little Miss Sunshine.”
– Jackie Earle Haley, “Little Children”
– Djimon Hounsou, “Blood Diamond”
– Eddie Murphy, “Dreamgirls”
– Mark Wahlberg, “The Departed”
“Norbit” + lousy acceptance speeches + “Dreamgirls” backlash = Eddie Murphy getting passed over for an award he deserves.
ANIMATED FEATURE
– “Cars”
* “Happy Feet” (top)
– “Monster House”
George Miller’s eco-friendly ‘toon blockbuster would seem a better fit to Academy liberals than Pixar’s gas-guzzling “Cars.”
FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
– “After the Weddding”
– “Days of Glory”
– “The Lives of Others”
* “Pan’s Labyrinth”
– “Water”
Guillermo del Toro’s masterpiece boasts five craft nominations, including cinematography, and terrific U.S. box office.

