It’s easy to enter your draft targeting aces such as Corbin Burnes, Gerrit Cole or Max Scherzer.
That doesn’t take much skill. Neither does aiming for the next tier of pitchers, like Zack Wheeler and Lucas Giolito, or mid-round gems such as Chris Bassitt or Charlie Morton.
What will set you apart from your competitors is identifying starting pitchers ready to take their production to a new level, like Roto Rage favorite Logan Webb did in 2021. Studying a players’ track record and pinpointing stats that exhibit the capability of keeping up with those no-brainer early-round selections will help you find that breakout potential and set your rotation up for success.
Among pitchers with a minimum of 80 innings pitched, the Angels’ Patrick Sandoval ranked 12th in swinging strikes (15.2 percent). To put that number in perspective, it was higher than Cole (14.5), and just a few percentage points behind Scherzer (15.9) and AL Cy Young winner Robbie Ray (15.5).
Opponents had an average 85.4 mph exit velocity against the southpaw, the third-lowest mark in the majors (behind just Wheeler and Ryan Yarbrough). Opposing offenses hit just .214 against him, the 26th-best mark in the majors.
Patrick Sandoval throws a pitch against the Astros. Getty ImagesIn 14 starts from May 17-Aug. 13, before a season-ending back injury, Sandoval was 3-6 with a 3.39 ERA, 86 strikeouts, .625 OPS, 1.18 WHIP and a .215 opponent average.
Sandoval has a fastball that can hit 96 mph, but that is not even his best pitch (or the one he uses most often).
Sandoval dominates with his changeup (arguably one of the best in the game). It is a pitch he threw 29.6 percent of the time, with opponents hitting .139 with 56 strikeouts and a .522 OPS. He had a ridiculous 28.7 percent swinging strike rate and 51.4 percent whiff rate with the pitch, which was also his putaway pitch 31.3 percent of the time.
Sandoval also had success with his slider, a pitch he used 17.2 percent of the time, with opponents hitting .188 against it with a .525 OPS and 38.3 percent whiff rate.
Are there issues with the 25-year-old Sandoval? Of course. He struggles with command, as evidenced by walking nearly 10 percent of the batters he has faced in his career, and though he has been deemed healthy, his 2021 season ended because of a left lumbar stress reaction.
Back injuries do have a tendency of repeating (hello, Clayton Kershaw).
Are these issues that should scare you away from taking Sandoval? No, especially not with his 212.52 average draft position, according to Fantasy Alarm. This is the type of young player primed for a breakout, and he should be targeted in those later rounds.
Logan Gilbert pitches for the Mariners. Getty ImagesRoto Rage’s other favorite breakout target is Seattle’s Logan Gilbert (164.72) — who was 6-5 with a 4.68 ERA, 128 strikeouts, 12.4 percent swinging strike rate and 1.173 WHIP in 24 starts as a rookie. He has elite command, walking just 5.6 percent of the batters he faced (mere percentage points behind Burnes, Scherzer, Wheeler and Aaron Nola). He also had a 3.73 FIP, which indicates he was unlucky.
Gilbert also has a dominant slider (opponents hit .211 against it with 47 strikeouts and just four walks), and a fastball that averages 95 mph but can hit 99.
Remember, this is a guy who went 23-3 with a 2.48 ERA with 11.2 strikeouts per nine over three years in college, and 11-5 with a 2.12 ERA, 10.9 strikeouts per nine and 2.1 walks per nine over two seasons in the minors. With an improved lineup backing him up, Gilbert should be in for a big season — and it won’t cost that much to have him as a part of your rotation.
TEAM NAME OF THE WEEK
The Braun Supremacy
STARTING PITCHERS
1. Corbin Burnes, Mil
2. Gerrit Cole, NYY
3. Max Scherzer, NYM
4. Walker Buehler, LAD
5. Brandon Woodruff, Mil
6. Lucas Giolito, CWS
7. Zack Wheeler, Phi
8. Julio Urias, LAD
9. Max Fried, Atl
10. Robbie Ray, Sea
11. Shane Bieber, Cle
12. Sandy Alcantara, Mia
13. Shohei Ohtani, LAA
14. Freddy Peralta, Mil
15. Aaron Nola, Phi
16. Logan Webb, SF
17. Jose Berrios, Tor
18. Trevor Rogers, Mia
19. Lance Lynn, CWS
20. Kevin Gausman, Tor
21. Yu Darvish, SD
22. Luis Castillo, Cin
23. Jack Flahery, StL
24. Charlie Morton, Atl
25. Alek Manoah, Tor
26. Joe Musgrove, SD
27. Chris Sale, Bos
28. Justin Verlander, Hou
29. Chris Bassitt, NYM
30. Luis Garcia, Hou
31. Carlos Rodon, SF
32. Dylan Cease, CWS
33. Shane McClanahan, TB
34. Framber Valdez, Hou
35. Ian Anderson, Atl
36. Frankie Montas, Oak
37. Blake Snell, SD
38. Jacob deGrom, NYM
39. Mike Clevinger, SD
40. Logan Gilbert, Sea
41. Nathan Eovaldi, Bos
42. Shane Baz, TB
43. Eduardo Rodriguez, Det
44. Lance McCullers Jr., Hou
45. Clayton Kershaw, LAD
46. Sonny Gray, Min
47.John Means, Bal
48. Casey Mize, Det
49. Zac Gallen, Ari
50. Pablo Lopez, Mia
51. Sean Manaea, Oak
52. Hyun-Jin Ryu, Tor
53. Noah Syndergaard, LAA
54. Marcus Stroman, ChC
55. Tarik Skubal, Det
56. Michael Kopech, CWS
57. Anthony DeSclafani, SF
58. Patrick Sandoval, LAA
59. Triston McKenzie, Cle
60. Tanner Houck, Bos
61. German Marquez, Col
62. Jose Urquidy, Hou
63. Aaron Civale, Cle
64. Tony Gonsolin, LAD
65. Tyler Mahle, Cin
66 Zach Plesac, Cle
67. Huascar Ynoa, Atl
68. Kyle Hendricks, ChC
69. Adam Wainwright, StL
70 Alex Wood, SF
71. Ranger Suarez, Phi
72. Stephen Strasburg, Was
73. Josiah Gray, Was
74. Jon Gray, Tex
75. Marco Gonzales, Sea
76. Chris Paddack, SD
77. Yusei Kikuchi, Tor
78. Luis Severino, NYY
79. Steven Matz, StL
80. Taijuan Walker, NYM
81. Patrick Corbin, Was
82. Cristian Javier, Hou
83. Jameson Taillon, NYY
84. Carlos Carrasco, NYM
85. Jesus Luzardo, Mia
86. Zack Greinke, KC
87. Dinelson Lamet, SD
88. Sixto Sanchez, Mia
89. Luis Patino, TB
90. Brady Singer, KC
91. Dane Dunning, Tex
92. Adbert Alzolay, ChC
93. James Kaprielian, Oak
94. Zach Eflin, Phi
95. Bailey Ober, Min
96. Alex Cobb, SF
97. Wade Miley, ChC
98. Jordan Montgomery, NYY
99. Hunter Greene, Cin
100. Kenta Maeda, Min
101. Tyler Glasnow, TB
102. Chris Flexen, Sea
103. Mike Soroka, Atl
104. Daniel Lynch, KC
105. Griffin Canning, LAA
106. James Paxton, Bos
107. Dylan Bundy, Min
108. Antonio Senzatela, Col
109. Josh Fleming, TB
110. Elieser Hernandez, Mia






