Ryan Dunleavy previews the NFC North as The Post gives division-by-division breakdowns ahead of the 2022 NFL season.
1. Green Bay Packers
Coach: Matt LaFleur
2021 record: 13-4
O/U wins: 11.5
Key additions: WR Sammy Watkins, WR Christian Watson, LB Quay Walker, DT Devonte Wyatt, DT Jarran Reed, P Pat O’Donnell
Key departures: WR Davante Adams, WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling, G Lucas Patrick, OL Billy Turner, LB Oren Burks, CB Kevin King, OLB Za’Darius Smith
First-and-goal: LaFleur is the first coach to win at least 13 games in each of his first three seasons. As long as Aaron Rodgers is in place — he just signed a three-year extension — there is no reason to expect anything less than a division title. Rodgers is missing two of his favorite targets, but he is good enough to elevate mediocre receivers — even though it was a struggle in camp. What Rodgers can’t do is make the defense better. That’s proved to be a liability during his career, but this Rashan Gary- and Jaire Alexander-led defense might be the best he has played with in his career.
Aaron Rodgers has traditionally struggled in the postseason. APFourth-and-long: Fans are tired of celebrating regular-season success amid an 11-year Super Bowl drought. The Packers need to identify their winning postseason formula. The tandem of RBs Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon feasts on defenses wary of putting extra defenders in the box, but the offensive line has injury questions as David Bakhtiari and Elgton Jenkins return from knee injuries. If Rodgers is running for his life while trying to get on the page with new receivers — even tight end Robert Tonyan could miss the start of the season — then it could spell a slow start.
Dunleavy’s Decision: 13-4. Imagine if Rodgers gets the Packers a lead at the two-minute warning and the defense is good enough to hold on.
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2. Minnesota Vikings
Coach: Kevin O’Connell
2021 record: 8-9
O/U wins: 9.5
Key additions: OLB Za’Darius Smith, DT Harrison Phillips, LB Jordan Hicks, S Lewis Cine, CB Andrew Booth
Key departures: TE Tyler Conklin, C Mason Cole, LB Anthony Barr, S Xavier Woods, DT Michael Pierce, EDGE Everson Griffen, DT Sheldon Richardson
The Vikings need to capitalize on running back Dalvin Cook. APFirst-and-goal: Risking two steps back for the hope of a step forward, the Vikings fired Mike Zimmer (72-56-1) and general manager Rick Spielman despite never bottoming out. But the Vikings felt stuck as a fringe playoff team and in need of an offensive coach with fresh ideas to capitalize on two elite playmakers — RB Dalvin Cook and WR Justin Jefferson — and squeeze more than .500-caliber play out of QB Kirk Cousins as he holds the salary cap hostage with a $31.4 million charge. Poaching Smith from the Packers was a classic weaken-your-enemy and strength-yourself double whammy.
Fourth-and-long: For the first time in franchise history, the Vikings are coming off back-to-back seasons with more than 400 points allowed. The solution was to scrap Zimmer’s 4-3 defense for the 3-4 employed by new coordinator Ed Donatell, a veteran of 31 NFL seasons. The secondary remains a major question mark despite repeat investments in recent years. It feels like a make-or-break year for the Vikings, who will find out if they were underachieving because Zimmer’s message got stale or if a teardown is in order while the new regime has rope to spare.
Dunleavy’s Decision: 9-8. The Vikings are 5-4-1 in the last five seasons against the Packers and could inflate their record by sweeping the Bears and Lions.
QB Jared Goff is likely not the solution to the Lions’ woes. AP3. Detroit Lions
Coach: Dan Campbell
2021 record: 3-13-1
O/U wins: 6.5
Key additions: WR D.J. Chark, WR Jameson Williams, CB Mike Hughes, LB Chris Board, LB Jarrad Davis, S DeShon Elliott, DE Aidan Hutchinson
Key departures: DE Trey Flowers, LB Jalen Reeves-Maybin
First-and-goal: Determining whether late-season momentum will carry over is a tricky business. After a 0-10-1 start to the Campbell Era, the Lions went 3-3 post-Thanksgiving. Hutchinson, the pride of Michigan, slipped into their hands at No. 2 overall in the draft. WR Amon-Ra St. Brown broke franchise rookie records (90 catches) in the NFL’s worst receiving corps and now has plenty of help. The Lions handed out one-year prove-it contracts to veterans who could play right away and maybe help double the win total. Rarely do teams as good on both sides of the line of scrimmage as the Lions finish in last place.
Fourth-and-long: QB Jared Goff is just a placeholder, but he can return the Lions to respectability. Replacing him is an offseason problem. The speedster Williams will miss the first half of the season as he recovers from the torn ACL he suffered in the College Football Playoff. All eyes are on a different top pick, however: cornerback Jeff Okudah (10 games played since going No. 3 overall in 2019) to see if he is a certified bust. The Lions used six of eight 2022 draft picks on defense and will be playing young players at all three levels.
Dunleavy’s Decision: 6-11. The Lions were 2-5-1 in games decided by seven points or less. As long as they don’t tune out the fiery Campbell’s antics, luck balancing out is enough for improvement.
Justin Fields showed flashes of brilliance during the Bears’ mediocre season. AP4. Chicago Bears
Coach: Matt Eberflus
2021 record: 6-11
O/U wins: 5.5
Key additions: G Lucas Patrick, QB Trevor Siemian, DT Justin Jones, LT Riley Reiff, CB Kyler Gordon, EDGE Al-Quadin Muhammad
Key departures: QB Nick Foles, QB Andy Dalton, WR Allen Robinson, RB Tarik Cohen, G James Daniels, EDGE Khalil Mack, DT Akiem Hicks, DT Eddie Goldman, LB Danny Trevathan, S Tashaun Gipson, P Pat O’Donnell
First-and-goal: It’s a new era of Eberflus and GM Ryan Poles, washing away the stigma of four double-digit loss records in the last five years. The duo inherited second-year QB Justin Fields, who showed flashes with big-time arm strength as a rookie despite his 2-8 record. The Bears addressed an offensive line that allowed an NFL-worst 58 sacks last season. David Montgomery remains one of the NFL’s most underrated running backs, capable of much more if the blocking holds up its end of the bargain. LB Roquan Smith pulled back his trade request for now.
Fourth-and-long: The Bears laughed at the established blueprint for supporting a young quarterback. They hired a defensive-minded head coach. They let Robinson and Daniels walk in free agency. They used their first two draft picks on defense, but the offseason losses still outweigh the gains on that side of the ball. Essentially, the Bears looked to their own team-building history rather than to what has worked this decade. And maybe that’s why they have been looking for a great quarterback since Sid Luckman retired in 1950.
Dunleavy’s Decision: 3-14. This is one of the NFL’s worst rosters … and it could get weaker after the trade deadline. Not fair to Fields’ evaluation.







