A look at the numbers tells you that the Vikings are living on borrowed time.
Will life living on the edge catch up with Minnesota?
Entering their game Sunday at the Lions (5-7), the past nine wins for the Vikings (10-2) have come by one possession, the most recent of which was their 27-22 nail-biter over the Jets, whose receiver, Braxton Berrios, failed to haul in a potential game-winning touchdown pass with 1:43 remaining.
Not including a 23-7 win over the Packers, Minnesota’s average margin of victory in its other nine victories has been a mere 5.2 points.
“We’re comfortable in these situations,” right tackle Brian O’Neill told reporters this week. “Ideally you want to win by more. But let’s be honest, we’re going to be in those situations again moving forward, and if we can handle it maturely and if we can stay laser-focused the whole time, we’ll be fine.”
Still, the statistics are peculiar. Despite being 10-2, with the second-best record in the league, the Vikings have outscored their opponents on the season by just 10 points, and they’re being outgained by an average of 63 yards per game.
They are ranked 19th in the league in offense, 25th in rushing offense and 11th in passing. Defensively, they’re ranked an eye-opening 31st — 16th against the run and dead last against the pass.
Kirk Cousins Getty ImagesThe oddsmakers are not believers in the Vikings, having installed them as 1.5-point underdogs. According to the Action Network, it’s the first time a team with its starting quarterback playing and a winning percentage of 80 percent or better has been an underdog against a team with a losing record in a game in December or later since 2004.
Yet non-believers-be-damned, a win or tie against the Lions and the Vikings would clinch the NFC North division title for the first time since 2017.
They have won nine of their past 10 games, a streak that began with a 28-24 comeback win over the Lions in Minneapolis. Their only two losses have come against two of the top teams in the league — the Eagles (11-1) and the Cowboys (9-3).
While the Vikings are playing for the division title, the Lions are playing for their playoff lives. They will enter the game having won four of their past five games to insert themselves into the postseason conversation as a potential wild card.
“We win, we got a chance,” Lions quarterback Jared Goff said. “We don’t, we probably don’t.”
The Lions were seemingly left for dead after a 1-6 start, after winning just three games last year in head coach Dan Campbell’s first season.
Jared Goff Getty Images“It brings a little extra spark to everything, certainly, when you know that you’ve got a chance,” Campbell said this week. “More importantly, it’s the fact that we feel like we’re playing pretty good football because we’re doing things a certain way and the guys have gained confidence from that.”
Campbell is still chafed by what he acknowledged as a mistake he made in the Week 3 meeting with the Viking when he chose to try a 54-yard field goal with a three-point lead and 1:14 left with Minnesota out of timeouts.
Kicker Austin Seibert, who was later released, missed the kick, and Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins led Minnesota to a game-winning TD with 45 seconds remaining.
“Of course, it burns me,” Campbell said this week. “I mean, that’ll be there until the day I die. That’s not going to go away.”
Cousins, a Michigan native who went to Michigan State, has been dominant in his four starts at Ford Field with the Vikings. He’s 4-0, has completed 73-percent of his passes for 1,336 yards, 12 touchdowns and no interceptions for a 129.9 passer rating.
“I always enjoy going back to the state where I grew up and seeing people in green and white [his alma mater colors] and that kind of a thing.”
Among the Lions playing particularly well is Goff, who completed a season-high 31 passes for 340 yards and two TDs without an interception last week in a 40-17 rout of the Jaguars. Goff has thrown at least one TD pass in 11 consecutive home games, the third-longest active streak in the league.
That controversial trade with the Rams, in which Detroit acquired Goff for Matthew Stafford last year, now doesn’t look so bad for the Lions, who were panned for the move at the time.
Another thing to watch in the game is Vikings star receiver Justin Jefferson, who was held to a career-low 14 yards and three receptions in the last meeting, with Lions cornerback Jeff Okudah playing him tight.
Vikings tight end T.J. Hockenson caught a TD pass for the Lions in the teams’ previous meeting. He was dealt to the Vikings at the trade deadline and has 30 catches for 225 yards and one TD in five games for Minnesota since.
The Vikings have won nine of the past 10 matchups against the Lions. The only loss in that span was at Detroit in Week 13 last year, when Goff’s 11-yard TD pass to Amon-Ra St. Brown on the last play of the game gave the Lions a 29-27 victory — their first under Campbell.




