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Sunday

TITANS (-3) over Texans: Houston regressed after they strafed the Patriots on Sunday night two weeks ago. Don’t overthink this. Our old friend from his Dolphins days — Ryan Tannehill — has benefitted beautifully from the Titans’ style of attack.

Dolphins (+3¹/₂) over GIANTS: Ryan Fitzpatrick has maximized generous head starts since his arrival in South Florida. The Giants have consistently disappointed backers at MetLife. They should sue for defensive support — and projected highs in upper 40s shouldn’t cramp optimum Dolphins frolics.

Buccaneers (-3¹/₂) over LIONS: The less said about this, the better. This year’s Lions have adopted the dreadful habit of playing from ahead and fumbling endgames. Tampa Bay has long displayed preferable form on the road — and should overcome their iffy defense against this foe.

REDSKINS (+4¹/₂) over Eagles: Heading into Dallas’ “all the marbles” game at the Linc, it would serve the Eagles to get off to decent first-half start. But the Redskins are off their low point — and Eagles haven’t made it easy on themselves when favored on the road.

Bears (+4½) over PACKERS: Early risers gobbled friendlier Chicago-plus offerings — but if QB Mitch Trubisky’s recent improvement is a true bill, the NFC North’s balance of power may be shifting. The Bears yielded just 10 points to Aaron Rodgers in the opener.

Ryan TannehillGetty ImagesRyan TannehillGetty Images

Patriots (-9½) over BENGALS: Difficult to conceive Bill Belichick would permit loss of a third consecutive game. Very close call, though expect the defending champs to seek a “safe” margin — personified by this line. There are more clear-cut things to do this week.

Seahawks (-6¹/₂) over PANTHERS: Seattle has endured critical attrition at running back with the loss of Rashaad Penny for the year — but we stand by our belief the Panthers’ roster broadly liked playing for Ron Rivera, hated to see him go, and aren’t likely to react positively in the near term.

Broncos (+9¹/₂) over CHIEFS: Denver wise guys weren’t kidding, vis a vis their pre-unveiling enthusiasm regarding new ex-Missouri quarterback Drew Lock. Denver bets pushed line hard at the open, but value remains against flashy, uber-talented Patrick Mahomes — given dubious, banged-up Chiefs secondary.

STEELERS (-1½) over Bills: Pittsburgh has been massaged to favoritism on experience, savvy and a markedly greater degree of need — against the classic “good little team” Bills, led by turnover-adventure Josh Allen. Bad tech spot for the home faves — though RB James Conner may make it back, but WR JuJu Smith-Schuster is a no-go.

RAIDERS (-6¹/₂) over Jaguars: Recent frequent anticipations of better days for the Silver and Black have gone unfulfilled, but a marked class drop portends good tidings in Oakland’s final Northern Cali home game. Bon voyage.

Browns (-2½) over CARDINALS: Ya got big-time grudge workin’ here, given that Browns QB Baker Mayfield commenced his NCAA career at Texas Tech (coached by Cards boss Kliff Kingsbury). Mayfield shifted to Oklahoma after Kingsbury preferred alternate signal-calling options. Tech reads favor Cards — but their secondary may prove unable to make that promissory note good.

49ERS (-10¹/₂) over Falcons: Brutal matchup for visitors, given San Francisco’s powerhouse pass rush harassing chief Atlanta weapon Matt Ryan. A win or a Rams loss assures a playoff spot for the favorite, though they’re stalking bigger seeding goals. With division mates the Rams and Seahawks on deck, the Niners are ready to do what’s necessary.

Rams (-1½) over COWBOYS: Los Angeles remains viable — as they root for their Chargers neighbors to apply enough pressure to crack the long-way-from-home Vikings. We’ve shorted the Cowboys most of this season like it’s October 1929 — but any theoretical value offered by original market (Rams -4) is long gone.

CHARGERS (+2½) over Vikings: This game was flexed out of the Sunday night slot, and now Minnesota will be playing concurrently with Rams-’Boys. This is the last clash relevant to the NFC North title chase that involves teams invading unfriendly territory. Though they gave the Seahawks a good battle in the Pacific Northwest, the Vikings have been broadly disappointing in the Pacific time zone for a decade, though key Vikings receiver Adam Thielen is expected back.

Monday

SAINTS (-9) over Colts: Don’t doubt New Orleans will win this. This is a lookahead for this home side, with a trip to Tennessee to visit the Ryan Tannehill-invigorated Titans on deck … but banged-up Indianpolis is generous on defense — enabling the home side to play it cozy with a lead. Close call.

Last week: 7-6-2.

Season: 96-90-4.

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