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Only some of it looks familiar: Josh Allen and the Bills leading the AFC East. Patrick Mahomes thriving even without Tyreek Hill. Jalen Hurts benefiting from the pairing of A.J. Brown with DeVonta Smith for the 6-0 Eagles. Joe Burrow returning from his appendectomy and throwing dimes. … And at the other end of the spectrum, the Lions, Texans, Jaguars, Browns, Panthers — all franchises that have never won a Super Bowl — continuing to torment their respective fan bases.

But as for as much of the rest of NFL 2022?

Serby says: Huh?

Desperately seeking assistance to help make sense of NFL 2022, I turn to NFL Network star analyst Brian Baldinger, father of Baldy’s Breakdowns.

What better place for us to start than 1925 Giants Drive?

The Giants are 6-1 only months removed from Rock Bottom, N.J. Can we all agree that it was a travesty of a mockery of a sham that Brian Daboll had to wait so long for his head-coaching opportunity?

“He’s basically done what good coaches do: What do we got? What could we do this week?” Baldinger said. “He’s hired a good staff, Bobby Johnson’s a really good offensive line coach, [offensive coordinator Mike] Kafka’s good, Wink [Martindale, defensive coordinator] is great. And he’s done a good job of kind of basically letting these guys know that they’re gonna have a chance to win every week if they really follow the instructions, what he’s telling ’em, and they’re listening.”

Is Daniel Jones their quarterback of the future?

“He could be,” Baldinger said. “It’d be helpful if he had some receivers to throw it to. … It would be good if some of these guys ever got healthy and we can find out if he can throw it when they gotta throw it.”


  Daniel Jones Bill Kostroun Daniel Jones Bill Kostroun

Other signs that the NFL world has been turned upside down and the apocalypse is coming?

Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers.

Think about this: With the two graybeards playing the way they are, the leaders in the NFC Pro Bowl clubhouse are … wait for it … Jones, Hurts and Geno Smith.

Brady’s 2022 to date: a painful divorce from Gisele Bundchen; berating his battered offensive line on the sideline; flinging a Surface tablet; offensive coordinator Byron Leftwich under fire; the ever classy Antonio Brown trolling him on social media; first three-game losing streak in 20 years.

He misses Rob Gronkowski. He’s 3-5. But it is too premature to count him out, and he won’t turn 46 until next August.

“He can still drive the ball. … He just doesn’t look like he’s having any fun though,” Baldinger said.

Rodgers? He’s not yet 39, a relative pup. But he won’t be MVP (39.8 QBR) for a third straight season. He has missed Davante Adams more than he thought he would.


  Tom Brady Getty Images Tom Brady Getty Images

“They can’t get the deep ball,” Baldinger said of Rodgers and the Packers. “In the last three-game losing streak, they’ve taken 13 deep shots and haven’t converted. That used to be a given with Davante Adams. So if you’re not getting great separation, ’cause these guys aren’t, then the way to do it is by play-action passing. But Aaron hates to turn his back to the defense. He just believes his arm is accurate enough that he doesn’t need 5 yards separation for a receiver. The problem is, his receivers just aren’t that good right now.”

Remember how suitors were salivating over the prospect of Russell Wilson leaving Seattle? Remember the Rocky Mountain High when the Broncos won the sweepstakes with a $245 million contract through 2028, with $165M guaranteed? Broncos Country: Let’s ride.

He’s no longer the danger-Russ quarterback, and rookie head coach Nathaniel Hackett looks like he can’t hack it with his team at 2-5. But at least Wilson’s wife, Ciara is standing by her man.

“He doesn’t look like he’s got the same speed that he once had,” Baldinger said. “He’s not seeing the field real well, and then he hasn’t been really accurate when he has seen the field.”


  Geno Smith AP Geno Smith AP

And meanwhile, Pete Carroll is letting Geno cook in what was supposed to be a rebuilding year in Seattle. Best completion percentage (73.5) in the NFL, for Pete’s sake.

“He’s not a caretaker,” Baldinger said of Smith. “Just talking to him in the preseason, while everybody had every quarterback in the league going there to replace Russell, Pete Carroll was set on a quarterback duel between [Drew] Lock and Geno. He felt like the organization had his back, they weren’t looking to replace him.”

Then there is the sight of Bill (38-39 without Brady in New England), Belichick embroiled in a QB controversy of his own making before turning back to Mac Jones. Belichick misses former offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels as much as McDaniels misses him right now in Las Vegas.

“They just aren’t built like a modern-day football team,” Baldinger said of the Patriots. “They look like we should be watching them in black-and-white TV. They just don’t really attack.”

Jones? “I like Mac,” Baldy said. “I think he’s a cerebral guy, I think he sees the field good. I just don’t think like he’s this type of guy in Mahomes, Allen, Burrow that just has this killer instinct from anywhere on the field anytime in a game, you never have the game won.”

Remember how the AFC West was hailed as the strongest division in the NFL? I picked the Chargers to win the division, but cornerback J.C. Jackson (knee) is lost for the season, left tackle Rashawn Slater (biceps) won’t be back until late in the season, edge rusher Joey Bosa (groin) won’t return until Week 11 at the earliest, and receiver Mike Williams has a high ankle sprain just as Keenan Allen returns. They’ll chase a wild-card berth mostly because of quarterback Justin Herbert.

“They don’t tackle well at all,” Baldinger said. “They don’t run the ball well at all. They’re just an incomplete team. And I don’t know if the coach [Brandon Staley] is a head coach.”

No one imagined the possibility of three NFC East teams (Eagles, Giants, Cowboys) reaching the playoffs.

“Well, they are gonna play each other a bunch,” Baldinger said. “And I think Washington with [Taylor] Heinecke, and they’re gonna get Chase Young back, they’re gonna beat one of these teams too, they’re not gonna just lay down. So I feel like there’s gonna be some attrition within the division, which is I think gonna knock one of the teams out.”


  Justin Herbert tries to shake free of a tackle. Getty Images Justin Herbert tries to shake free of a tackle. Getty Images

Super Bowl hangovers are predictable, but Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford have missed retired left tackle Andrew Whitworth and injured free-agent receiver Odell Beckham Jr. (torn ACL) so much that in three of their six games they have scored 10 points or fewer, even with Cooper Kupp.

The injury bug has forced the Rams to start six different offensive line combinations, as new left tackle Joe Noteboom (Achilles) is gone. Running back Cam Akers could be traded, and McVay has been reluctant to run the ball. Receiver Allen Robinson is coming off his best game but is 17-170-2 on the season. Deep threat Van Jefferson (knee) and center Brian Allen will return Sunday against the 49ers. But man, missing out on Christian McCaffrey — to the 49ers, no less — sure hurt.

“Aaron Donald doesn’t look like an MVP this year,” Baldinger said, “and Bobby Wagner doesn’t look like Bobby Wagner the first 10 years. They don’t look dynamic on defense, and then offensively, there’s Cooper Kupp and really everybody else.”

Ah yes, the 49ers. Who were going to chase a Super Bowl with quarterback Trey Lance, the third pick of the 2021 draft, until his Week 2 Achilles calamity. Kyle Shanahan looked nothing like a Super Bowl coach and defensive coordinator Demeco Ryans looked nothing like a future head coach in last week’s 44-23 loss to the Chiefs. Jimmy Garoppolo versus Mahomes has never been a fair fight. C-Mac will prove to be a godsend alongside Deebo Samuel — out Sunday (hamstring) — and George Kittle, and it says here they’ll win the division.

“I feel like they’ve got everything it takes to be really good defensively,” Baldinger said, “and typically they beat the Rams up in the trenches.”

From 2007-21, Mike Tomlin never had a losing season. Even with Mitch Trubisky, and now first-round pick Kenny Pickett, succeeding Big Ben Roethlisberger, who expected a 2-5 start? Nine offensive TDs to date? Just 15.3 ppg (31st)? The natives are restless for Tomlin to whack offensive coordinator Matt Canada. Expect it during the bye week, after the game Sunday at Philadelphia. The absence since Week 1 of T.J. Watt (pec) has debilitated the defense. He’s expected back after the Nov. 6 bye.

“Their offensive line is just a mess,” Baldinger said.

Pickett? “He gets the ball out of his hands fast, which is good,” Baldinger said, “but he’s a little too reckless right now, like a lot of young guys.”

Replacing Payton and Drew Brees in New Orleans was going to be as easy as replacing Tom Coughlin and Eli Manning. But 2-5? Head coach Dennis Allen was Payton’s DC, and yet the decimated Saints defense has surrendered 33 ppg over the past three weeks.

“The turnovers are killing ’em,” Baldinger said. “They’re not as dynamic defensively as they’ve been.”

Oh, and the Jets are 5-2, thanks mostly to head coach Robert Saleh’s defense. Zach Wilson?

“The guy’s athletic, he can make a lot of the type of throws you gotta make in this league right now,” Baldinger said. “Some says it looks like it’s just a complete mess, from everything, from the protection to the design. But he’s calming down, he knows the defense is good. I feel like he’s seeing the field better. And I think he understands the offense a little bit better.”

Anybody left in your survivor pool?

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