Howie Kussoy picks his winner for the Thursday night matchup between Georgia State and Arkansas State (7:30 p.m., ESPN.) Home team in CAPS.

Understandably, the only thing you remember about Arkansas State’s season is its upset win at Kansas State. Well, the Red Wolves — who followed with a 29-point loss to Coastal Carolina — haven’t beaten any other FBS teams this season, and bring a lackluster run defense to a matchup with the nation’s ninth-ranked rushing attack.