Take a deep breath, St. John’s fans. An NCAA Tournament berth may not be as tenuous as you think.

Three respected Bracketologists — Jerry Palm of CBS, Dave Ommen of Bracketville and Brad Wachtel of Facts & Bracks — all agreed that it would take a lot of unexpected results for the Red Storm to miss the tournament despite their recent struggles. The strength of their résumé and the weak nature of the bubble are both working in their favor.

“That’s not going to happen,” Palm said. “There’s no way they are going to miss [the tournament]. I can’t come up with something to see them in Dayton [for the First Four].”

Palm, Ommen and Wachtel all have St. John’s as a 10-seed at the moment. The Johnnies are an 11-seed in BracketMatrix.com, which compiles every Bracketologist and aggregates their seeds.

As it stands, St. John’s (20-10, 8-9) has five Quadrant 1 victories (1-30 at home, 1-50 at a neutral site and 1-75 on the road, all based on NET ratings, the new metric the NCAA is relying on), including a season sweep of No. 16 Marquette and a home win over No. 23 Villanova. It has just two bad losses, Quadrant 3 setbacks to DePaul and Providence, and seven wins away from home.

In last year’s field, no high-major team was left out of the tournament with a .500-or-better record against Quadrant 1 and 2 opponents, and St. John’s is 10-8 against such teams. While their non-conference strength of schedule of 197 is weak, their overall strength of schedule of 67 is solid.

“St. John’s is in good shape, especially when you compare them to the other bubble teams,” Wachtel said. “I went through 15,20 other teams I have after St. John’s, and right now there’s no argument to put them ahead of St. John’s.”

One potential holdup could be the Johnnies’ NET rating, which is 62. It remains a mystery how much of a factor that number will be, since it is the first year the NET is being used by the NCAA Selection Committee after years of relying upon RPI. The RPI was just one of many ways teams were rated, and the experts believe the NET will be used in a similar vein.

While a loss on Saturday at Xavier wouldn’t hurt them too much — this is a Quadrant 1 game — it could lead to them having to play Wednesday night in the outbracket round of the Big East Tournament. A loss there, to a DePaul or Providence, could hurt.

“It’s not likely for them to fall out, but if they end up somewhere in the 70’s [in the NET], if they lose the next two games, that’s where it gets interesting,” Ommen said.

Of course, there is always a chance St. John’s goes on a tear, wins at Xavier on Saturday and rolls through the Big East Tournament. The Johnnies are 3-1 against the league’s two top teams — Marquette and Villanova — and would be the tournament’s third seed if they can knock off the Musketeers.

Palm doesn’t think St. John’s would move up that much, predicting at best a low seven-seed if that was the case. But Wachtel believes a six-seed would be possible in that scenario, granted Chris Mullin’s team would likely have to get through Marquette and Villanova to cut down the nets at the Garden for the first time in 19 years.