NYC public schools to lose 153,000 students over the next decade: report
By Hannah FierickBig Apple public schools are at risk of losing a whopping 153,000 students over the next decade, according to a troubling new report by the School Construction Authority.
The data estimates that enrollment will plunge by 94,000 pupils over the next five years, with an additional 59,000 lost in the following five years.
The drop will bring the total number of enrolled students to 721,251 for the 2034-2035 school year -- a more than 25% decline in current enrollment.
The Citizens' Budget Commission told the New York Times the estimates were "pretty dramatic" -- and warned that they were "very concerned about what it says regarding families leaving the city," Ana Champaney, the fiscal watchdog's president of research, said.
The report partially blames the student outflow on families fleeing the five boroughs -- citing that 91,000 people left for other cities in the United States in 2024 -- with "negative total net migration" increasing yearly between 2020 and 2024 despite the major influx of migrants in 2022.
Other families are staying put but choosing alternative schooling for their young ones -- including private schools and homeschooling. Data shows that 19% of the city's school-aged children are enrolled in private education.
The city is also seeing a sharp downturn across all age groups under 60 -- with the most glaring gaps in the 20-24 and 25-29 age groups, who are considered the primary demographics for starting families. A staggering 25,000 fewer babies are born per year in the city than they were 10 years ago.
One outlier in the report showed prekindergarten pupils are projected to remain steady, at about 88,000 enrolled in the next 10 years -- but that number is cut in half when they age into kindergarten.
The New York City Department of Education addressed the bleak outlook in a statement to The New York Times.
“As we plan for the future, we will continue making responsible decisions that strengthen opportunities for students while also ensuring families have clear, timely information about their options,” the department said.





