Former President Donald Trump is ahead of President Biden in Michigan by the narrowest of margins, a 2024 election poll released Tuesday showed.
Trump holds a 0.6 point lead over Biden, with the presumptive Republican nominee garnering 48.2% support to the incumbent’s 47.6% backing in a head-to-head matchup, according to the Mitchell-Michigan News Source Poll.
The 77-year-old former president’s advantage increased slightly – to 1.2 percentage points – when third-party candidates were included in the survey.
The Michigan poll showed Trump with a 0.6 point lead over Biden in the 2024 race. REUTERSIn a five-way race, Trump received 46.3% support to the 81-year-old president’s 45.1% backing.
Independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West received 3.3% and 1.1% support, respectively, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein only garnered 0.5%.
The survey of likely voters in the Wolverine State was conducted on Monday, days after a Manhattan jury found Trump guilty of falsifying business records in his hush money trial.
More Michigan voters (38%) responded that the verdict in the case made them more likely to vote for Trump than against him (25%).
Thirty-seven percent said that the guilty verdict had “no influence” in how they would vote.
The poll also found that by a seven point margin more Republicans (82%) are “very enthusiastic” about the 2024 election than Democrats (75%).
Trump holds a 1.2 point lead over Biden when third-party candidates were included in the survey. via REUTERS
Thirty-eight percent said that the Manhattan guilty verdict made them more likely to support Trump in November.
“Trumps lead has narrowed from two percent to point six percent since our last survey conducted May
20-21, 2024, before Trump’s conviction,” Steve Mitchell, president of Mitchell Research & Communications, Inc. said in a statement.
“In the May 2024 survey Trump had solidified his base better than Biden but post-conviction, Biden is doing slightly better with Democrats (95%) than Trump has with Republicans (93%),” he added. “Trump has dropped from 9% to 4% with Democrats while Biden has gone from 4% of Republicans to 5%. Trump now leads with Independents 47% – 40%.”
There are 15 Electoral College votes up for grabs in Michigan in November.
Biden beat Trump by less than 3 percentage points in the state in 2020.
Trump had previously defeated Hillary Clinton in Michigan by less than one percent back in 2016.
