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Voters in hard-fought House races are more likely to vote for Republicans than Democrats next month, according to a new poll.

Among likely voters in competitive congressional districts, 48% said they would support the Republican candidate and 43% said they would support the Democrat, the CNN survey released Thursday found. 

Nationwide, Democrats enjoy the advantage on the so-called “generic ballot,” with 50% of likely voters saying they’ll support the party’s candidate, compared to 47% backing the Republican.

However, the GOP not only has the advantage in swing seats, but its supporters are more excited to cast their ballots Nov. 8, the poll finds.


  Republicans need to pick up a net of just five seats on Election Day to take control of the lower chamber. Getty Images Republicans need to pick up a net of just five seats on Election Day to take control of the lower chamber. Getty Images

Nationally, 52% of Republicans said they were “extremely motivated” to vote compared to 46% of Democrats. In competitive districts, 55% of Republicans were “extremely motivated” compared to 45% of Democrats. 

Republicans need to pick up a net of just five seats on Election Day to take control of the House.

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report lists 31 House races in 2022 as “toss-ups,” with Democrats defending 21 of those seats and Republicans defending 10.


  A number of House races have been labeled “toss-ups” by political experts. AP A number of House races have been labeled “toss-ups” by political experts. AP

  The CNN poll found that the recession and rising prices are top issues for midterm voters. AP The CNN poll found that the recession and rising prices are top issues for midterm voters. AP

CNN’s own Election Center finds Republicans favored in 211 districts and Democrats favored in 205, with the remaining 19 rated as “toss-ups.” Of those, 13 are being defended by Democrats, with six defended by Republicans.

The poll also found that the recession and rising prices remain top issues for voters, with 59% saying the economy is extremely important to their vote and 56% saying the same about inflation. In competitive congressional districts, those concerns were magnified, with 67% and 64% saying the economy and inflation were, respectively, their top issues.


  Just 35% of likely voters said the GOP contender in their district has a “clear plan for solving the country’s problems,” while 30% said the same of Democrats. REUTERS Just 35% of likely voters said the GOP contender in their district has a “clear plan for solving the country’s problems,” while 30% said the same of Democrats. REUTERS

Despite the good news for Republican candidates, just 35% of likely voters said the GOP contender in their district has a “clear plan for solving the country’s problems,” while 30% said the same of Democrats.

Notably, 41% of registered voters nationwide, including 62% of independents, said that neither party’s candidates have a clear plan for handling America’s problems.

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