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Punxsutawney Phil’s winter weather forecast will be announced sometime after sunrise Friday in Gobbler’s Knob, the scene of the country’s largest and most well-known Groundhog Day celebration.

The annual event is a tongue-in-cheek ritual in which Phil’s handlers, members of a club with roots in the late 19th century, reveal whether the groundhog has seen his shadow — ushering in six more weeks of winter weather — or hasn’t, presaging early springlike weather.

About 10,000 people have made their way in recent years to Punxsutawney, where festivities begin in the dead of night and culminate in the midwinter forecast.

Phil predicts more winter far more often than he sees an early spring, not a bad bet for February and March in western Pennsylvania.

A federal agency took a look at his record last year and put his accuracy rate at about 40%.


  Spectators gather at Gobblers Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa., as Phil the groundhog makes his prediction for how long winter will last on Feb. 2, 2024. Reuters Spectators gather at Gobblers Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa., as Phil the groundhog makes his prediction for how long winter will last on Feb. 2, 2024. Reuters

  Attendees at Gobblers Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa., pack out the ceremony as they await for Phil the groundhog on Feb. 2, 2024. Reuters Attendees at Gobblers Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa., pack out the ceremony as they await for Phil the groundhog on Feb. 2, 2024. Reuters

The tradition of celebrating the midpoint between the shortest day of the year on the winter solstice and the spring equinox goes back many centuries in European farm life.

There are more than a dozen active groundhog clubs in Pennsylvania, some dating back to the 1930s, and weather-predicting groundhogs have appeared in at least 28 US states and Canadian provinces.

The 1993 blockbuster film “Groundhog Day,” starring Bill Murray, fueled interest in Punxsutawney Phil and inspired informal observations far and wide.


  A band plays for the crowd at Gobblers Knob ahead of Phil the groundhog’s prediction on Feb. 2, 2024. Facebook / Punxsutawney Phil A band plays for the crowd at Gobblers Knob ahead of Phil the groundhog’s prediction on Feb. 2, 2024. Facebook / Punxsutawney Phil


  The annual event is a tongue-in-cheek ritual in which Phil’s handlers, members of a club with roots in the late 19th century, reveal whether the groundhog has seen his shadow or hasn’t. AP The annual event is a tongue-in-cheek ritual in which Phil’s handlers, members of a club with roots in the late 19th century, reveal whether the groundhog has seen his shadow or hasn’t. AP

  About 10,000 people have made their way in recent years to Punxsutawney, where festivities begin in the dead of night and culminate in the midwinter forecast. Facebook / Punxsutawney Phil About 10,000 people have made their way in recent years to Punxsutawney, where festivities begin in the dead of night and culminate in the midwinter forecast. Facebook / Punxsutawney Phil

When he’s not making his annual prognostication, Phil lives in a customized space beside the Punxsutawney Memorial Library, with a window where library patrons can check out his burrow.

Back in 2009, library workers said Phil had somehow managed to escape three times, climbing into the library ceiling and dropping into offices about 50 feet away. He wasn’t injured.

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