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WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — Trump adviser Tim Murtaugh told The Post he feels the former president’s chances are better than in 2016 or 2020, based on polling leading up to Election Day.

“There’s tangible evidence of it. This is just polling wise. Donald Trump has never been in as strong a position as he is now,” he said at the Election Day watch party at the Palm Beach County Convention Center.

Murtaugh, who was Trump’s 2020 communications director, pointed to some specific polls that he said indicate how much voters have shifted in the last four years. 


  Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump speaks after he voted on Election Day at the Morton and Barbara Mandel Recreation Center. AP Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump speaks after he voted on Election Day at the Morton and Barbara Mandel Recreation Center. AP

“The last Wall Street Journal poll in 2020 had Joe Biden ahead of Donald Trump by 10. The last Wall Street Journal poll in this race had Donald Trump up by two. I mean, it’s just a world, a world of difference. I think people are remembering his presidency more fondly, especially in comparison to Biden/Harris.”

Follow along with The Post’s coverage of the 2024 election

The 2016 and 2020 polls underestimated Trump’s ultimate results, and the average polling this cycle has shown Trump closer to his opponent than ever before.

The voters “remember the Trump years as with a good economy, no inflation, a secure border, and the world was largely at peace. Under Biden and Harris, you’ve got a terrible economy. Inflation is through the roof. The border might as well not even exist, and the world at large is on fire. It’s an incredible contrast, and I think that’s the way you’re going to see it play out,” he added.

The Trump veteran also offered up some more predictions — and was bullish about the former president’s chances of securing the win.

He said voters should keep “an eye on Virginia” to flip red— and that he thinks Trump is “ahead in all seven battleground states,” meaning Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.


  Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump, accompanied by former U.S. First Lady Melania Trump, thanks the campaign workers on Election Day, in West Palm Beach, Florida, U.S., November 5, 2024. REUTERS Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump, accompanied by former U.S. First Lady Melania Trump, thanks the campaign workers on Election Day, in West Palm Beach, Florida, U.S., November 5, 2024. REUTERS

  Former President Donald Trump at his campaign headquarters in West Palm Beach, Florida, pointing at someone during Election Day. AP Former President Donald Trump at his campaign headquarters in West Palm Beach, Florida, pointing at someone during Election Day. AP

“I think it will be a close election overall. I think that we are ahead in all seven battleground states. And so while it might take a while for reporting, if the people who we think are going to support him come out and support him, then I think he wins, and I think, we have a real possibility of winning all seven battleground states, and even a couple that people don’t think are battlegrounds.”

Trump told voters throughout Tuesday to “stay on line” and cast their ballot for him, and said that “Republicans are doing really well.”

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